Skip to the predictions
Live 21 UTC
China League One Round 28 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Dongguan UnitedHomeWLLLL
2:5Half-time 0:1
Nanjing CityAwayLDWWW
202258
Dongguan United winDrawNanjing City win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
2.76
0.94 : 1.82
Favourite
59%
Nanjing City
Over 2.5 goals
52%
model chance
Both teams to score
51%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Dongguan United vs Nanjing City betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet5.013.841.541.761.921.801.87Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

Ad

Nanjing City to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Dongguan United vs Nanjing City prediction: Dongguan United 5.01 (1xBet), draw 3.84 (1xBet), Nanjing City 1.54 (1xBet).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.76 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.92 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (1xBet) and no 1.87 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

59%

Our prediction

Nanjing City to win
StrongExpected goals 0.94 : 1.82-9.8% against the best price
Double chanceNanjing City or draw
81% chance1.10
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.80
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
12% chance8.70fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Nanjing City, full-time Nanjing City
37% chance2.72fair

Dongguan United vs Nanjing City prediction

Our Dongguan United vs Nanjing City prediction and pick

Dongguan United host Nanjing City on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the China League One, and the model has Nanjing City at 59%, the draw at 22% and Dongguan United at 20%: that is the Dongguan United vs Nanjing City prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 0.94 for Dongguan United and 1.82 for Nanjing City, a total of 2.76, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 51%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Nanjing City to win is the main selection, rated 59%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.54. That price implies 65%, 6 points over the model figure.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, nanjing City or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.10.

The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Dongguan United stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Nanjing City show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.

Dongguan United vs Nanjing City goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 70%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.76.

The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Dongguan United scoring in 61% of runs and Nanjing City in 84%; clean sheets come at 16% for Dongguan United and 39% for Nanjing City.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 11.5%, followed by 1-1 (10.8%) and 0-2 (10.5%).

With the top scoreline at 11.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Dongguan United vs Nanjing City; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nanjing City, full-time Nanjing City leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Dongguan United vs Nanjing City

The grid built from 0.94 and 1.82 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Dongguan United to win20%5.01
Draw22%3.84
Nanjing City to win59%1.54
Dongguan United, draw no bet25%fair 4.00
Nanjing City, draw no bet75%fair 1.33

Double chance

Dongguan United or draw41%2.17
Nanjing City or draw81%1.10
Dongguan United or Nanjing City (no draw)78%1.18

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.76
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Under 2.5 goals48%1.92
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43

BTTS

Both teams to score51%1.80
Not both teams to score49%1.87

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.84
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28

Team goals

Dongguan United to score61%fair 1.64
Nanjing City to score84%fair 1.19
Dongguan United clean sheet16%fair 6.17
Nanjing City clean sheet39%fair 2.56
Dongguan United to win to nil15%fair 6.71
Nanjing City to win to nil36%fair 2.79

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-111.5%
1-110.8%
0-210.5%
1-29.9%
0-36.4%
0-06.3%

Half-time / full-time

Nanjing City / Nanjing City36.7%
Draw / Nanjing City18.5%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Dongguan United / Dongguan United10.5%
Draw / Dongguan United7.4%

Questions about Dongguan United vs Nanjing City

Who is favourite in Dongguan United vs Nanjing City?

The model gives Nanjing City the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Dongguan United vs Nanjing City?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Dongguan United vs Nanjing City?

The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Dongguan United find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Nanjing City in 84%.

What time does Dongguan United vs Nanjing City kick off?

Kick-off is 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Dongguan United v Nanjing CityNanjing City to win, 59%
1.54Bet