Dongguan UnitedHomeWLLLL
Nanjing CityAwayLDWWW
Dongguan UnitedHomeWLLLL
Nanjing CityAwayLDWWW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.01 | 3.84 | 1.54 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.80 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Dongguan United vs Nanjing City prediction: Dongguan United 5.01 (1xBet), draw 3.84 (1xBet), Nanjing City 1.54 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.76 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.92 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.80 (1xBet) and no 1.87 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
Our prediction
Dongguan United host Nanjing City on Saturday, 24 October 2026 in the China League One, and the model has Nanjing City at 59%, the draw at 22% and Dongguan United at 20%: that is the Dongguan United vs Nanjing City prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 0.94 for Dongguan United and 1.82 for Nanjing City, a total of 2.76, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 51%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Nanjing City to win is the main selection, rated 59%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.54. That price implies 65%, 6 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, nanjing City or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.10.
The draw sits at only 22%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Dongguan United stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Nanjing City show 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 70%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 1xBet pay 1.76.
The chance of both teams scoring is 51%, built from Dongguan United scoring in 61% of runs and Nanjing City in 84%; clean sheets come at 16% for Dongguan United and 39% for Nanjing City.
The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 11.5%, followed by 1-1 (10.8%) and 0-2 (10.5%).
With the top scoreline at 11.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Dongguan United vs Nanjing City; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Nanjing City, full-time Nanjing City leads at 37%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
The grid built from 0.94 and 1.82 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Nanjing City the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 22%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Dongguan United find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Nanjing City in 84%.
Kick-off is 11:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.