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Live 33 UTC
China League One Round 28 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Changchun YataiHomeDDDWW
4:1Half-time 2:0
Meizhou KejiaAwayDLLLL
612019
Changchun Yatai winDrawMeizhou Kejia win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.05
2.03 : 1.02
Favourite
61%
Changchun Yatai
Over 2.5 goals
58%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.504.105.061.552.171.632.10Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Changchun Yatai to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Changchun Yatai price at 1.50, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.10 and 1xBet have Meizhou Kejia longest at 5.06.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.55 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.17 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.63 (1xBet) and no 2.10 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

61%

Our prediction

Changchun Yatai to win
StrongExpected goals 2.03 : 1.02-8.2% against the best price
Double chanceChangchun Yatai or draw
81% chance1.10
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.55
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Changchun Yatai, full-time Changchun Yatai
39% chance2.55fair

Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia prediction

Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia prediction and best bet

The Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia prediction leans to Changchun Yatai: 61% against 19% for Meizhou Kejia, with 20% left for the draw, in the China League One on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

Expected goals are 2.03 for Changchun Yatai and 1.02 for Meizhou Kejia, a total of 3.05, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 56%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is changchun Yatai to win at 61%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.50. That price implies 67%, 5 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia.

Changchun Yatai or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 81% chance, priced 1.10.

With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Over the last 5 matches Changchun Yatai stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Meizhou Kejia show 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats in 5.

How many goals in Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 81%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 64%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.55 at 1xBet.

Both teams to score is 56%: Changchun Yatai find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Meizhou Kejia in 64%. Changchun Yatai keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Meizhou Kejia 13%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.8%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Changchun Yatai, full-time Changchun Yatai leads at 39%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia

The grid built from 2.03 and 1.02 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Changchun Yatai to win61%1.50
Draw20%4.10
Meizhou Kejia to win19%5.06
Changchun Yatai, draw no bet76%fair 1.31
Meizhou Kejia, draw no bet24%fair 4.24

Double chance

Changchun Yatai or draw81%1.10
Meizhou Kejia or draw39%2.26
Changchun Yatai or Meizhou Kejia (no draw)80%1.16

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.55
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.75
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.21
Under 2.5 goals42%2.17
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.57

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.63
Not both teams to score44%2.10

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.51
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

Changchun Yatai to score87%fair 1.15
Meizhou Kejia to score64%fair 1.56
Changchun Yatai clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Meizhou Kejia clean sheet13%fair 7.63
Changchun Yatai to win to nil33%fair 3.01
Meizhou Kejia to win to nil12%fair 8.26

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-110%
1-19.8%
2-09.8%
1-09.6%
3-16.7%
3-06.6%

Half-time / full-time

Changchun Yatai / Changchun Yatai39.2%
Draw / Changchun Yatai18.3%
Draw / Draw12%
Meizhou Kejia / Meizhou Kejia10.1%
Draw / Meizhou Kejia6.9%

Questions about Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia

Changchun Yatai or Meizhou Kejia: which side does the model back?

The model gives Changchun Yatai the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

What is the correct score prediction for Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Changchun Yatai find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Meizhou Kejia in 64%.

What time does Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia kick off?

Changchun Yatai vs Meizhou Kejia starts at 07:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Changchun Yatai v Meizhou KejiaChangchun Yatai to win, 61%
1.50Bet