Primera División
Union La CaleraHomeDDDWL
3:1Half-time 1:1
U. CatolicaAwayDDLDW272647
Union La Calera winDrawU. Catolica win
Union La CaleraHomeDDDWLU. CatolicaAwayDDLDW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.74 1.15 : 1.59
- Favourite
- 47% U. Catolica
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 6 in the odds table
Union La Calera vs U. Catolica betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.46 | 3.40 | 1.94 | 1.81 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 2.05 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.60 | 3.60 | 2.06 | 2.02 | 1.83 | 1.76 | 2.04 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 3.60 | 3.55 | 1.90 | 1.81 | 1.91 | 1.69 | 2.00 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.52 | 3.45 | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.81 | 1.70 | 2.05 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.56 | 3.56 | 2.04 | 2.00 | 1.81 | 1.76 | 2.04 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.35 | 3.40 | 2.02 | 1.76 | 1.91 | 1.66 | 2.01 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
U. Catolica to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Union La Calera price at 3.60, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.60 and 22Bet have U. Catolica longest at 2.06.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.02 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.91 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.76 (22Bet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
74%
Our prediction
Union La Calera or U. Catolica (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance2.02
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.76
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time U. Catolica, full-time U. Catolica
29% chance3.45fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair
Union La Calera v U. Catolica head to head
0Union La Calera wins
2Draws
0U. Catolica wins
2 meetings since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Union La Calera scored 1, U. Catolica scored 1.
Union La Calera vs U. Catolica prediction
Union La Calera vs U. Catolica prediction, who wins and at what price
The Union La Calera vs U. Catolica prediction leans to U. Catolica: 47% against 27% for Union La Calera, with 26% left for the draw, in the Primera División on Sunday, 25 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.15 for Union La Calera and 1.59 for U. Catolica, a total of 2.74, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Union La Calera vs U. Catolica is union La Calera or U. Catolica (no draw), a 74% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.31. That price implies 76%, 2 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Union La Calera vs U. Catolica.
Form check: Union La Calera have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 4 conceded, U. Catolica 1 of 5 scoring 4 and conceding 5.
Head to head, the last 2 meetings went 0 to Union La Calera, 0 to U. Catolica and 2 drawn, with 1.0 goals a game and both teams scoring in 1 of them.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Union La Calera vs U. Catolica
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 71%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 22Bet pay 2.02.
Both teams to score is 55%: Union La Calera find the net in 68% of simulated matches and U. Catolica in 80%. Union La Calera keep a clean sheet 20% of the time and U. Catolica 32%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.8%, then 0-1 at 10.3% and 1-2 at 9.4%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time U. Catolica, full-time U. Catolica leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Union La Calera vs U. Catolica
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 27% / 26% / 47% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Union La Calera to win27%3.60
Draw26%3.60
U. Catolica to win47%2.06
Union La Calera, draw no bet37%fair 2.74
U. Catolica, draw no bet64%fair 1.57
Double chance
Union La Calera or draw53%1.80
U. Catolica or draw73%1.31
Union La Calera or U. Catolica (no draw)74%1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals52%2.02
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.39
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Under 2.5 goals48%1.91
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.42
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.76
Not both teams to score45%2.05
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Union La Calera to score68%fair 1.46
U. Catolica to score80%fair 1.26
Union La Calera clean sheet20%fair 4.90
U. Catolica clean sheet32%fair 3.15
Union La Calera to win to nil19%fair 5.32
U. Catolica to win to nil29%fair 3.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.8%
0-110.3%
1-29.4%
0-28.2%
1-07.4%
2-16.8%
Half-time / full-time
U. Catolica / U. Catolica29%
Draw / U. Catolica16%
Union La Calera / Union La Calera15.6%
Draw / Draw14.8%
Draw / Union La Calera10.2%
Questions about Union La Calera vs U. Catolica
Union La Calera or U. Catolica: which side does the model back?
The model gives U. Catolica the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Union La Calera vs U. Catolica?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Union La Calera find the net in 68% of simulated matches and U. Catolica in 80%.
When is Union La Calera vs U. Catolica and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.