Primera División
D. La SerenaHomeLWD
Sun 8 Nov
PalestinoAwayDD382636
D. La Serena winDrawPalestino win
D. La SerenaHomeLWDPalestinoAwayDD- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.88 1.47 : 1.41
- Favourite
- 38% D. La Serena
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
D. La Serena vs Palestino betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.35 | 2.45 | 1.75 | 1.96 | 1.60 | 2.22 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
D. La Serena to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best D. La Serena price at 2.45, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.35 and 1xBet have Palestino longest at 2.45.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 89.7%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.75 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.96 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.60 (1xBet) and no 2.22 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
D. La Serena or Palestino (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.75
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.60
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time D. La Serena, full-time D. La Serena
23% chance4.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.38fair
D. La Serena vs Palestino prediction
Our D. La Serena vs Palestino prediction and pick
D. La Serena vs Palestino prediction for the Primera División on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model calls it close, D. La Serena 38%, draw 26%, Palestino 36%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
D. La Serena are expected to score 1.47 and Palestino 1.41, so the total line is 2.88 goals; over 2.5 lands at 55% and BTTS at 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for D. La Serena vs Palestino is d. La Serena or Palestino (no draw), a 74% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on D. La Serena vs Palestino.
How many goals in D. La Serena vs Palestino? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 46% and under 3.5 67%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 78% and over 2.5 at 55%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%, best priced 1.75 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 60%: D. La Serena find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Palestino in 76%. D. La Serena keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Palestino 23%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for D. La Serena vs Palestino: 1-1 (11.6%), 2-1 (8.6%) and 1-0 (8.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time D. La Serena, full-time D. La Serena is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market for D. La Serena vs Palestino
The grid built from 1.47 and 1.41 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
D. La Serena to win38%2.45
Draw26%3.35
Palestino to win36%2.45
D. La Serena, draw no bet52%fair 1.92
Palestino, draw no bet48%fair 2.08
Double chance
D. La Serena or draw64%1.42
Palestino or draw62%1.42
D. La Serena or Palestino (no draw)74%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%1.75
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals46%1.96
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.60
Not both teams to score41%2.22
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
D. La Serena to score77%fair 1.30
Palestino to score76%fair 1.32
D. La Serena clean sheet24%fair 4.10
Palestino clean sheet23%fair 4.35
D. La Serena to win to nil23%fair 4.44
Palestino to win to nil21%fair 4.72
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.6%
2-18.6%
1-08.3%
1-28.2%
0-17.9%
2-06.1%
Half-time / full-time
D. La Serena / D. La Serena23.1%
Palestino / Palestino21.3%
Draw / Draw14.3%
Draw / D. La Serena13.3%
Draw / Palestino12.5%
Questions about D. La Serena vs Palestino
Who will win D. La Serena vs Palestino?
The model gives D. La Serena the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
D. La Serena vs Palestino correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in D. La Serena vs Palestino?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. D. La Serena find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Palestino in 76%.
What time does D. La Serena vs Palestino kick off?
D. La Serena vs Palestino starts at 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.