Primera División
A. ItalianoHomeDLDD
Sun 8 Nov
Coquimbo UnidoAwayWWWLW392833
A. Italiano winDrawCoquimbo Unido win
A. ItalianoHomeDLDDCoquimbo UnidoAwayWWWLW- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.47 1.29 : 1.18
- Favourite
- 39% A. Italiano
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.40 | 3.15 | 2.65 | 2.07 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.89 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
A. Italiano to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido are 2.40 for A. Italiano at 1xBet, 3.15 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.65 for Coquimbo Unido at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.07 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.67 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (1xBet) and no 1.89 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
A. Italiano or Coquimbo Unido (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.67
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time A. Italiano, full-time A. Italiano
23% chance4.39fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido prediction
Our A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido prediction and pick
A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido prediction for the Primera División on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model calls it close, A. Italiano 39%, draw 28%, Coquimbo Unido 34%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 1.29 for A. Italiano and 1.18 for Coquimbo Unido, a total of 2.47, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 51%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
A. Italiano or Coquimbo Unido (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.26 with 1xBet the market prices it at 79%, against 72% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
A. Italiano average 0.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 4, Coquimbo Unido 2.2 and 1.2 across 5.
A low-scoring A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.67 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. A. Italiano score in 73% of simulations against a 28% clean sheet for Coquimbo Unido; Coquimbo Unido score in 69% while A. Italiano shut them out 31% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido: 1-1 (12.9%), 1-0 (10.9%) and 0-1 (10%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time A. Italiano, full-time A. Italiano leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 39% / 28% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
A. Italiano to win39%2.40
Draw28%3.15
Coquimbo Unido to win34%2.65
A. Italiano, draw no bet53%fair 1.87
Coquimbo Unido, draw no bet47%fair 2.15
Double chance
A. Italiano or draw66%1.36
Coquimbo Unido or draw62%1.44
A. Italiano or Coquimbo Unido (no draw)72%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%2.07
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals56%1.67
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.83
Not both teams to score49%1.89
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
A. Italiano to score73%fair 1.38
Coquimbo Unido to score69%fair 1.44
A. Italiano clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Coquimbo Unido clean sheet28%fair 3.64
A. Italiano to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Coquimbo Unido to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
1-010.9%
0-110%
0-08.5%
2-18.3%
1-27.6%
Half-time / full-time
A. Italiano / A. Italiano22.8%
Coquimbo Unido / Coquimbo Unido19.4%
Draw / Draw17.1%
Draw / A. Italiano14.2%
Draw / Coquimbo Unido12.6%
Questions about A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano or Coquimbo Unido: which side does the model back?
The model gives A. Italiano the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. A. Italiano find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Coquimbo Unido in 69%.
What time does A. Italiano vs Coquimbo Unido kick off?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.