Second League
Ludogorets IIHomeLWW
Sun 8 Nov
NesebarAwayWDLLL542422
Ludogorets II winDrawNesebar win
Ludogorets IIHomeLWWNesebarAwayWDLLL- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.76 1.73 : 1.03
- Favourite
- 54% Ludogorets II
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 53% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Ludogorets II vs Nesebar
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Ludogorets II vs Nesebar yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
54%
Our prediction
Ludogorets II to win
1.86fair
Double chanceLudogorets II or draw
77% chance1.29fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.91fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.88fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ludogorets II, full-time Ludogorets II
34% chance2.99fair
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar prediction
Our Ludogorets II vs Nesebar prediction and pick
The Ludogorets II vs Nesebar prediction leans to Ludogorets II: 54% against 23% for Nesebar, with 24% left for the draw, in the Second League on Sunday, 8 November 2026.
Expected goals are 1.73 for Ludogorets II and 1.03 for Nesebar, a total of 2.76, which puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 53%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Ludogorets II to win is the main selection, rated 54%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Ludogorets II or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance.
Over the last 3 matches Ludogorets II stand at 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Nesebar show 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 52%, over 3.5 at 30%; under 2.5 is 48% and under 3.5 is 70%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%.
BTTS yes stands at 53%. Ludogorets II score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for Nesebar; Nesebar score in 64% while Ludogorets II shut them out 36% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ludogorets II vs Nesebar: 1-1 (11.3%), 1-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Ludogorets II, full-time Ludogorets II is the top combination at 34%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
All markets, Ludogorets II vs Nesebar
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 54% / 24% / 23% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Ludogorets II to win54%fair 1.86
Draw24%fair 4.22
Nesebar to win23%fair 4.42
Ludogorets II, draw no bet70%fair 1.42
Nesebar, draw no bet30%fair 3.38
Double chance
Ludogorets II or draw77%fair 1.29
Nesebar or draw46%fair 2.16
Ludogorets II or Nesebar (no draw)76%fair 1.31
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%fair 1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.34
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.85
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.20
Under 2.5 goals48%fair 2.10
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score53%fair 1.88
Not both teams to score47%fair 2.13
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.84
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Ludogorets II to score82%fair 1.22
Nesebar to score64%fair 1.56
Ludogorets II clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Nesebar clean sheet18%fair 5.65
Ludogorets II to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Nesebar to win to nil16%fair 6.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
1-010.9%
2-19.8%
2-09.5%
0-16.5%
0-06.3%
Half-time / full-time
Ludogorets II / Ludogorets II33.5%
Draw / Ludogorets II17.5%
Draw / Draw14.3%
Nesebar / Nesebar12.5%
Draw / Nesebar8.5%
Questions about Ludogorets II vs Nesebar
Who will win Ludogorets II vs Nesebar?
The model gives Ludogorets II the best chance at 54%, with the draw at 24%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Ludogorets II vs Nesebar?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 52% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Ludogorets II vs Nesebar?
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Ludogorets II find the net in 82% of simulated matches and Nesebar in 64%.
What time does Ludogorets II vs Nesebar kick off?
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar starts at 14:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.