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Live 11 UTC
Bahrain Premier League Round 6 Thursday, 22 October 2026 FT
SitraHomeLWLL
2:3Half-time 1:1
Al RiffaAwayDWWD
142363
Sitra winDrawAl Riffa win
Kick-off
Thu 22 Oct
Expected goals
2.62
0.75 : 1.87
Favourite
64%
Al Riffa
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
45%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Sitra vs Al Riffa odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet6.593.741.451.881.792.001.70Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Al Riffa to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Sitra vs Al Riffa are 6.59 for Sitra at 1xBet, 3.74 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.45 for Al Riffa at 1xBet.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.00 (1xBet) and no 1.70 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

64%

Our prediction

Al Riffa to win
BankerExpected goals 0.75 : 1.87-7.9% against the best price
Double chanceAl Riffa or draw
86% chance1.04
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.79
BTTSNot both teams to score
55% chance1.70
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.36fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Riffa, full-time Al Riffa
41% chance2.43fair

Sitra vs Al Riffa prediction

Sitra vs Al Riffa prediction and best bet

The Sitra vs Al Riffa prediction leans to Al Riffa: 64% against 14% for Sitra, with 23% left for the draw, in the Bahrain Premier League on Thursday, 22 October 2026.

Sitra are expected to score 0.75 and Al Riffa 1.87, so the total line is 2.62 goals; over 2.5 lands at 49% and BTTS at 45%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Sitra vs Al Riffa is al Riffa to win, a 64% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.45. That price implies 69%, 5 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Sitra vs Al Riffa.

For a safer line, al Riffa or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.04.

Sitra average 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded across their last 4, Al Riffa 2.5 and 1.2 across 4.

How many goals in Sitra vs Al Riffa? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 27%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 73%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.79.

Both teams to score is 45%: Sitra find the net in 53% of simulated matches and Al Riffa in 85%. Sitra keep a clean sheet 15% of the time and Al Riffa 47%.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 13.6%, then 0-2 at 12.7% and 1-1 at 10.2%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Al Riffa, full-time Al Riffa is the top combination at 41%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.

Every market for Sitra vs Al Riffa

The grid built from 0.75 and 1.87 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Sitra to win14%6.59
Draw23%3.74
Al Riffa to win64%1.45
Sitra, draw no bet18%fair 5.68
Al Riffa, draw no bet82%fair 1.21

Double chance

Sitra or draw37%2.39
Al Riffa or draw86%1.04
Sitra or Al Riffa (no draw)77%1.19

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.36
Over 2.5 goals49%1.88
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.73
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 8.00
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.79
Under 2.5 goals51%1.79
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.37

BTTS

Both teams to score45%2.00
Not both teams to score55%1.70

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.03
Second-half goal76%fair 1.31

Team goals

Sitra to score53%fair 1.89
Al Riffa to score85%fair 1.18
Sitra clean sheet15%fair 6.49
Al Riffa clean sheet47%fair 2.12
Sitra to win to nil13%fair 8.00
Al Riffa to win to nil44%fair 2.30

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

0-113.6%
0-212.7%
1-110.2%
1-29.5%
0-37.9%
0-07.3%

Half-time / full-time

Al Riffa / Al Riffa41.1%
Draw / Al Riffa20.3%
Draw / Draw14%
Sitra / Sitra7.6%
Draw / Sitra5.9%

Questions about Sitra vs Al Riffa

Sitra or Al Riffa: which side does the model back?

The model gives Al Riffa the best chance at 64%, with the draw at 23%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

Sitra vs Al Riffa correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.6%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Sitra vs Al Riffa?

The BTTS yes line is rated 45%. Sitra find the net in 53% of simulated matches and Al Riffa in 85%.

When do Sitra play Al Riffa?

Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Sitra v Al RiffaAl Riffa to win, 64%
1.45Bet