Bahrain Premier League
Al NajmaHomeWDLD
1:2Half-time 0:1
A'AliAwayLLWD423028
Al Najma winDrawA'Ali win
Al NajmaHomeWDLDA'AliAwayLLWD- Kick-off Thu 22 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.43 1.35 : 1.08
- Favourite
- 42% Al Najma
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Al Najma vs A'Ali betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.16 | 2.99 | 3.21 | 2.10 | 1.63 | 1.82 | 1.85 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Al Najma to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Al Najma vs A'Ali are 2.16 for Al Najma at 1xBet, 2.99 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.21 for A'Ali at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 90.2%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.10 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.63 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (1xBet) and no 1.85 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
72%
Our prediction
Al Najma or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.81fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Najma, full-time Al Najma
25% chance3.94fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
Al Najma vs A'Ali prediction
Al Najma vs A'Ali prediction and best bet
Al Najma vs A'Ali prediction for the Bahrain Premier League on Thursday, 22 October 2026: the model makes Al Najma marginally ahead at 42%, with the draw at 30% and A'Ali at 29%.
Expected goals are 1.35 for Al Najma and 1.08 for A'Ali, a total of 2.43, which puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 50%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Al Najma vs A'Ali is al Najma or draw, a 72% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.25 at 1xBet, which implies 80%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Al Najma vs A'Ali.
Over the last 4 matches Al Najma stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; A'Ali show 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 4.
A low-scoring Al Najma vs A'Ali? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Al Najma vs A'Ali reads 70% for over 1.5, 44% for over 2.5 and 23% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.63 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 50%, built from Al Najma scoring in 74% of runs and A'Ali in 66%; clean sheets come at 34% for Al Najma and 26% for A'Ali.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%, followed by 1-0 (11.9%) and 0-1 (9.5%).
With the top scoreline at 12.8%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Al Najma vs A'Ali; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al Najma, full-time Al Najma leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Al Najma vs A'Ali
The grid built from 1.35 and 1.08 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Al Najma to win42%2.16
Draw30%2.99
A'Ali to win29%3.21
Al Najma, draw no bet60%fair 1.68
A'Ali, draw no bet41%fair 2.47
Double chance
Al Najma or draw72%1.25
A'Ali or draw58%1.55
Al Najma or A'Ali (no draw)70%1.29
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals44%2.10
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.31
Under 2.5 goals56%1.63
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.82
Not both teams to score50%1.85
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.34
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36
Team goals
Al Najma to score74%fair 1.35
A'Ali to score66%fair 1.52
Al Najma clean sheet34%fair 2.94
A'Ali clean sheet26%fair 3.86
Al Najma to win to nil31%fair 3.21
A'Ali to win to nil24%fair 4.18
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.8%
1-011.9%
0-19.5%
0-08.8%
2-18.7%
2-08%
Half-time / full-time
Al Najma / Al Najma25.4%
Draw / Draw17.3%
A'Ali / A'Ali16.9%
Draw / Al Najma15.4%
Draw / A'Ali11.4%
Questions about Al Najma vs A'Ali
Al Najma or A'Ali: which side does the model back?
The model gives Al Najma the best chance at 42%, with the draw at 30%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
Al Najma vs A'Ali correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Al Najma vs A'Ali both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Al Najma find the net in 74% of simulated matches and A'Ali in 66%.
When do Al Najma play A'Ali?
Kick-off is 16:00 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.