AFC Champions League Elite
Buriram UnitedHomeWLWLD
Wed 4 Nov
KashimaAwayWDLWW362539
Buriram United winDrawKashima win
Buriram UnitedHomeWLWLDKashimaAwayWDLWW- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.86 1.40 : 1.46
- Favourite
- 39% Kashima
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Buriram United vs Kashima betting odds by bookmaker
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
75%
Our prediction
Buriram United or Kashima (no draw)
1.33fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.83fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.73fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.55fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kashima, full-time Kashima
23% chance4.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.38fair
Buriram United vs Kashima prediction
Our Buriram United vs Kashima prediction and pick
Nothing separates the sides in the Buriram United vs Kashima prediction for Wednesday, 4 November 2026: 36% home, 25% draw and 39% away in the AFC Champions League Elite. A match this tight rewards the double chance and the goal markets more than a straight pick.
Expected goals are 1.40 for Buriram United and 1.46 for Kashima, a total of 2.86, which puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is buriram United or Kashima (no draw) at 75%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Buriram United average 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded across their last 5, Kashima 2.6 and 1.2 across 5.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Buriram United vs Kashima
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 55%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 45% and under 3.5 is 68%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Both teams to score is 58%: Buriram United find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Kashima in 77%. Buriram United keep a clean sheet 23% of the time and Kashima 25%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.7%, then 1-2 at 8.5% and 0-1 at 8.4%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Kashima, full-time Kashima is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.
Every market for Buriram United vs Kashima
The grid built from 1.40 and 1.46 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Buriram United to win36%fair 2.75
Draw25%fair 4.00
Kashima to win39%fair 2.58
Buriram United, draw no bet49%fair 2.06
Kashima, draw no bet52%fair 1.94
Double chance
Buriram United or draw61%fair 1.63
Kashima or draw64%fair 1.57
Buriram United or Kashima (no draw)75%fair 1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%fair 1.83
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.12
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.17
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.52
Under 2.5 goals45%fair 2.20
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.47
BTTS
Both teams to score58%fair 1.73
Not both teams to score42%fair 2.38
Halves
First-half goal72%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.71
Second-half goal79%fair 1.26
Team goals
Buriram United to score75%fair 1.33
Kashima to score77%fair 1.30
Buriram United clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Kashima clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Buriram United to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Kashima to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.7%
1-28.5%
0-18.4%
2-18.2%
1-08%
0-26.1%
Half-time / full-time
Kashima / Kashima23.1%
Buriram United / Buriram United21.3%
Draw / Draw14.4%
Draw / Kashima13.3%
Draw / Buriram United12.6%
Questions about Buriram United vs Kashima
Buriram United or Kashima: which side does the model back?
The model gives Kashima the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What scoreline is most likely in Buriram United vs Kashima?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.7%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 55% backs the same picture with less variance.
Buriram United vs Kashima both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Buriram United find the net in 75% of simulated matches and Kashima in 77%.
When do Buriram United play Kashima?
Kick-off is 12:15 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.