Armenia Premier League
Ararat-ArmeniaHomeLWLWW
2:1Half-time 2:0
FC NoahAwayWWDLW272746
Ararat-Armenia winDrawFC Noah win
Ararat-ArmeniaHomeLWLWWFC NoahAwayWWDLW- Kick-off Mon 26 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.72 1.17 : 1.55
- Favourite
- 45% FC Noah
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 56% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 3.38 | 3.35 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.68 | 2.02 | Bet |
 22Bet | 3.39 | 3.35 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.68 | 2.03 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 3.39 | 3.35 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.68 | 2.03 | Bet |
 Melbet | 3.39 | 3.35 | 1.94 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.68 | 2.03 | Bet |
 Stake | 3.45 | 3.30 | 1.98 | 1.80 | 1.84 | - | - | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
FC Noah to win partner prices
Stake pay the best Ararat-Armenia price at 3.45, Melbet lead the draw at 3.35 and Stake have FC Noah longest at 1.98.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 91.5%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.82 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.85 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.68 (Melbet) and no 2.03 (Melbet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
73%
Our prediction
Ararat-Armenia or FC Noah (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
50% chance1.82
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.68
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.40fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time FC Noah, full-time FC Noah
28% chance3.58fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.42fair
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah prediction
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah prediction, who wins and at what price
FC Noah are marginally ahead in the Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah prediction, rated 45% to win this Armenia Premier League match on Monday, 26 October 2026. Ararat-Armenia sit at 27% and the draw at 27%.
Ararat-Armenia are expected to score 1.17 and FC Noah 1.55, so the total line is 2.72 goals; over 2.5 lands at 50% and BTTS at 56%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Ararat-Armenia or FC Noah (no draw) is the main selection, rated 73%. The best price in our comparison is 1.26 at Stake, which implies 79%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Ararat-Armenia average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, FC Noah 2.4 and 1.0 across 5.
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 76%, over 2.5 at 50%, over 3.5 at 29%; under 2.5 is 50% and under 3.5 is 71%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 50%, best priced 1.82 at Melbet.
Both teams to score is 56%: Ararat-Armenia find the net in 69% of simulated matches and FC Noah in 79%. Ararat-Armenia keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and FC Noah 31%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%, followed by 0-1 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.3%).
With the top scoreline at 11.9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time FC Noah, full-time FC Noah leads at 28%. A goal before the break is rated 71%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market for Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah
The grid built from 1.17 and 1.55 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Ararat-Armenia to win27%3.45
Draw27%3.35
FC Noah to win45%1.98
Ararat-Armenia, draw no bet38%fair 2.65
FC Noah, draw no bet62%fair 1.61
Double chance
Ararat-Armenia or draw55%1.69
FC Noah or draw73%1.24
Ararat-Armenia or FC Noah (no draw)73%1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.82
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.45
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.14
Under 1.5 goals25%fair 4.08
Under 2.5 goals50%1.85
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41
BTTS
Both teams to score56%1.68
Not both teams to score44%2.03
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.42
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.89
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29
Team goals
Ararat-Armenia to score69%fair 1.45
FC Noah to score79%fair 1.27
Ararat-Armenia clean sheet21%fair 4.72
FC Noah clean sheet31%fair 3.23
Ararat-Armenia to win to nil20%fair 5.13
FC Noah to win to nil29%fair 3.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.9%
0-110.2%
1-29.3%
0-27.9%
1-07.7%
2-17%
Half-time / full-time
FC Noah / FC Noah27.9%
Ararat-Armenia / Ararat-Armenia16.4%
Draw / FC Noah15.6%
Draw / Draw15%
Draw / Ararat-Armenia10.6%
Questions about Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?
The model gives FC Noah the best chance at 45%, with the draw at 27%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What scoreline is most likely in Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 50%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah?
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. Ararat-Armenia find the net in 69% of simulated matches and FC Noah in 79%.
What time does Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah kick off?
Ararat-Armenia vs FC Noah starts at 15:00 UTC on Monday, 26 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.