Liga Profesional
Clausura - 16 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
TigreHomeLLDLW
Sun 8 Nov
Sarmiento JuninAwayWDDLL582616
Tigre winDrawSarmiento Junin win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 16 Sunday, 8 November 2026
Kick-off
TigreHomeLLDLWSarmiento JuninAwayWDDLL- Kick-off Sun 8 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.32 1.59 : 0.73
- Favourite
- 58% Tigre
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 42% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.50 | 5.00 | 2.37 | 1.59 | 2.15 | 1.63 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Tigre to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Tigre price at 1.76, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.50 and 1xBet have Sarmiento Junin longest at 5.00.
The best-price payout across the three results is 94.9%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.37 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.59 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.15 (1xBet) and no 1.63 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
58%
Our prediction
Tigre to win
Double chanceTigre or draw
83% chance1.17
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
60% chance1.59
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
67% chance1.48fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
16% chance6.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Tigre, full-time Tigre
36% chance2.79fair
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin prediction
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin prediction, who wins and at what price
Tigre host Sarmiento Junin on Sunday, 8 November 2026 in the Liga Profesional, and the model has Tigre at 58%, the draw at 26% and Sarmiento Junin at 17%: that is the Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin prediction in one line.
Tigre are expected to score 1.59 and Sarmiento Junin 0.73, so the total line is 2.32 goals; over 2.5 lands at 41% and BTTS at 42%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin is tigre to win, a 58% chance. At 1.76 with 1xBet the market prices it at 57%, against 58% from the model.
Tigre or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 83% chance, priced 1.17.
Form check: Tigre have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 7 conceded, Sarmiento Junin 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 7.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin
On the goal lines Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin reads 67% for over 1.5, 41% for over 2.5 and 21% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 60%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.59 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 42%: Tigre find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Sarmiento Junin in 52%. Tigre keep a clean sheet 48% of the time and Sarmiento Junin 20%.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
Correct score: 1-0 leads at 15.6%, then 2-0 at 12.4% and 1-1 at 11.4%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Tigre, full-time Tigre leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 65%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin
The grid built from 1.59 and 0.73 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Tigre to win58%1.76
Draw26%3.50
Sarmiento Junin to win17%5.00
Tigre, draw no bet77%fair 1.29
Sarmiento Junin, draw no bet23%fair 4.41
Double chance
Tigre or draw83%1.17
Sarmiento Junin or draw42%2.06
Tigre or Sarmiento Junin (no draw)75%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.11
Over 1.5 goals67%fair 1.48
Over 2.5 goals41%2.37
Over 3.5 goals21%fair 4.88
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 11.63
Under 1.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Under 2.5 goals60%1.59
Under 3.5 goals80%fair 1.26
BTTS
Both teams to score42%2.15
Not both teams to score58%1.63
Halves
First-half goal65%fair 1.54
Over 1.5 first-half goals28%fair 3.57
Second-half goal72%fair 1.39
Team goals
Tigre to score80%fair 1.26
Sarmiento Junin to score52%fair 1.93
Tigre clean sheet48%fair 2.07
Sarmiento Junin clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Tigre to win to nil44%fair 2.26
Sarmiento Junin to win to nil16%fair 6.45
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-015.6%
2-012.4%
1-111.4%
0-09.8%
2-19.1%
0-17.2%
Half-time / full-time
Tigre / Tigre35.9%
Draw / Tigre19.9%
Draw / Draw17%
Sarmiento Junin / Sarmiento Junin9.1%
Draw / Sarmiento Junin7.1%
Questions about Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin
Who will win Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?
The model gives Tigre the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 26%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 41%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin?
The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. Tigre find the net in 80% of simulated matches and Sarmiento Junin in 52%.
When do Tigre play Sarmiento Junin?
Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin starts at 21:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.