Algeria Ligue 1
USM AlgerHomeWDDDW
v
MC AlgerAwayDLWWW413128
USM Alger winDrawMC Alger win
USM AlgerHomeWDDDWMC AlgerAwayDLWWW- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.00 1.12 : 0.88
- Favourite
- 41% USM Alger
- Over 2.5 goals
- 32% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
USM Alger vs MC Alger odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened USM Alger vs MC Alger yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
72%
Our prediction
USM Alger or draw
1.39fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
68% chance1.47fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.64fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
59% chance1.68fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
15% chance6.58fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time USM Alger, full-time USM Alger
24% chance4.26fair
First halfFirst-half goal
59% chance1.69fair
USM Alger vs MC Alger prediction
Our USM Alger vs MC Alger prediction and pick
USM Alger are marginally ahead in the USM Alger vs MC Alger prediction, rated 41% to win this Algeria Ligue 1 match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. MC Alger sit at 28% and the draw at 31%.
Expected goals are 1.12 for USM Alger and 0.88 for MC Alger, a total of 2.00, which puts over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams to score at 39%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for USM Alger vs MC Alger is uSM Alger or draw, a 72% chance. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
USM Alger average 1.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded across their last 5, MC Alger 1.4 and 0.6 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in USM Alger vs MC Alger
Under 2.5 goals is rated 68% and under 3.5 86%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 59% and over 2.5 at 32%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 68%.
BTTS yes stands at 39%. USM Alger score in 67% of simulations against a 33% clean sheet for MC Alger; MC Alger score in 59% while USM Alger shut them out 42% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for USM Alger vs MC Alger: 1-0 (15.2%), 0-0 (13.5%) and 1-1 (13.3%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time USM Alger, full-time USM Alger leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 59%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for USM Alger vs MC Alger
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 41% / 31% / 28% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
USM Alger to win41%fair 2.43
Draw31%fair 3.27
MC Alger to win28%fair 3.53
USM Alger, draw no bet59%fair 1.69
MC Alger, draw no bet41%fair 2.45
Double chance
USM Alger or draw72%fair 1.39
MC Alger or draw59%fair 1.70
USM Alger or MC Alger (no draw)69%fair 1.44
Goals
Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 goals59%fair 1.68
Over 2.5 goals32%fair 3.12
Over 3.5 goals14%fair 6.99
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 18.87
Under 1.5 goals41%fair 2.46
Under 2.5 goals68%fair 1.47
Under 3.5 goals86%fair 1.17
BTTS
Both teams to score39%fair 2.55
Not both teams to score61%fair 1.64
Halves
First-half goal59%fair 1.69
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.39
Second-half goal67%fair 1.50
Team goals
USM Alger to score67%fair 1.48
MC Alger to score59%fair 1.71
USM Alger clean sheet42%fair 2.41
MC Alger clean sheet33%fair 3.07
USM Alger to win to nil38%fair 2.65
MC Alger to win to nil26%fair 3.85
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
1-015.2%
0-013.5%
1-113.3%
0-111.9%
2-08.5%
2-17.5%
Half-time / full-time
USM Alger / USM Alger23.5%
Draw / Draw21.6%
Draw / USM Alger15.9%
MC Alger / MC Alger15.6%
Draw / MC Alger11.7%
Questions about USM Alger vs MC Alger
USM Alger or MC Alger: which side does the model back?
The model gives USM Alger the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
USM Alger vs MC Alger correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 32%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in USM Alger vs MC Alger?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. USM Alger find the net in 67% of simulated matches and MC Alger in 59%.
What time does USM Alger vs MC Alger kick off?
USM Alger vs MC Alger starts at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.