Algeria Ligue 1
USM AlgerHomeWDDDW
2:2Half-time 1:2
CR BelouizdadAwayWWD353233
USM Alger winDrawCR Belouizdad win
USM AlgerHomeWDDDWCR BelouizdadAwayWWD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.06 1.04 : 1.02
- Favourite
- 35% USM Alger
- Over 2.5 goals
- 33% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 43% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.59 | 2.75 | 2.71 | 2.59 | 1.39 | 2.12 | 1.63 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
USM Alger to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad are 2.59 for USM Alger at 1xBet, 2.75 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.71 for CR Belouizdad at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.59 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.39 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.12 (1xBet) and no 1.63 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
68%
Our prediction
USM Alger or CR Belouizdad (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
67% chance1.39
BTTSNot both teams to score
57% chance1.63
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
61% chance1.64fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
14% chance7.41fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
21% chance4.74fair
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.66fair
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad prediction
Our USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad prediction and pick
The USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Algeria Ligue 1 on Saturday, 24 October 2026 gives USM Alger a 35% chance, CR Belouizdad 34% and the draw 32%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
The goal expectancy is 2.06 in total, split 1.04 to USM Alger and 1.02 to CR Belouizdad. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 33% and both teams to score 43%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad is uSM Alger or CR Belouizdad (no draw), a 68% chance. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 8 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad.
A 32% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Over the last 5 matches USM Alger stand at 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; CR Belouizdad show 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats in 3.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
Under 2.5 goals is rated 67% and under 3.5 85%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 61% and over 2.5 at 33%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 67%; 1xBet pay 1.39.
Both teams to score is 43%: USM Alger find the net in 65% of simulated matches and CR Belouizdad in 64%. USM Alger keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and CR Belouizdad 35%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad: 1-1 (13.5%), 1-0 (13.3%) and 0-1 (13%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 21%. A goal before the break is rated 60%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 35% / 32% / 34% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
USM Alger to win35%2.59
Draw32%2.75
CR Belouizdad to win34%2.71
USM Alger, draw no bet51%fair 1.97
CR Belouizdad, draw no bet49%fair 2.03
Double chance
USM Alger or draw66%1.33
CR Belouizdad or draw65%1.36
USM Alger or CR Belouizdad (no draw)68%1.32
Goals
Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals61%fair 1.64
Over 2.5 goals33%2.59
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.49
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 17.24
Under 1.5 goals39%fair 2.56
Under 2.5 goals67%1.39
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.18
BTTS
Both teams to score43%2.12
Not both teams to score57%1.63
Halves
First-half goal60%fair 1.66
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.22
Second-half goal68%fair 1.47
Team goals
USM Alger to score65%fair 1.55
CR Belouizdad to score64%fair 1.56
USM Alger clean sheet36%fair 2.77
CR Belouizdad clean sheet35%fair 2.83
USM Alger to win to nil32%fair 3.14
CR Belouizdad to win to nil31%fair 3.24
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97
Most likely scores
1-113.5%
1-013.3%
0-113%
0-012.7%
2-17%
1-26.9%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw21.1%
USM Alger / USM Alger20%
CR Belouizdad / CR Belouizdad19.3%
Draw / USM Alger13.9%
Draw / CR Belouizdad13.6%
Questions about USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
USM Alger or CR Belouizdad: which side does the model back?
The model gives USM Alger the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 32%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13.5%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 33% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad?
The BTTS yes line is rated 43%. USM Alger find the net in 65% of simulated matches and CR Belouizdad in 64%.
When is USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad and where is the result shown?
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad starts at 16:45 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.