United Arab Emirates Pro League
Al-DhafraHomeW
5:1Half-time 2:1
Dubai UnitedAwayL342541
Al-Dhafra winDrawDubai United win
Al-DhafraHomeWDubai UnitedAwayL- Kick-off Fri 16 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.99 1.42 : 1.57
- Favourite
- 41% Dubai United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.52 | 3.46 | 2.31 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.55 | 2.27 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Dubai United to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United are 2.52 for Al-Dhafra at 1xBet, 3.46 for the draw at 1xBet and 2.31 for Dubai United at 1xBet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 89.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.65 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.06 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (1xBet) and no 2.27 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
75%
Our prediction
Al-Dhafra or Dubai United (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
57% chance1.65
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.93fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Dubai United, full-time Dubai United
25% chance4.03fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United prediction
Our Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United prediction and pick
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United prediction for the United Arab Emirates Pro League on Friday, 16 October 2026: the model calls it close, Al-Dhafra 34%, draw 25%, Dubai United 41%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Al-Dhafra are expected to score 1.42 and Dubai United 1.57, so the total line is 2.99 goals; over 2.5 lands at 57% and BTTS at 61%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Al-Dhafra or Dubai United (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.21. That price implies 83%, 8 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United
Under 2.5 goals is rated 43% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 57%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.65 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 61%, built from Al-Dhafra scoring in 76% of runs and Dubai United in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for Al-Dhafra and 24% for Dubai United.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%, followed by 1-2 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Dubai United, full-time Dubai United leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 34% / 25% / 41% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Al-Dhafra to win34%2.52
Draw25%3.46
Dubai United to win41%2.31
Al-Dhafra, draw no bet46%fair 2.19
Dubai United, draw no bet54%fair 1.84
Double chance
Al-Dhafra or draw59%1.46
Dubai United or draw66%1.39
Al-Dhafra or Dubai United (no draw)75%1.21
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.65
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.85
Over 4.5 goals18%fair 5.46
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 4.98
Under 2.5 goals43%2.06
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.54
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.55
Not both teams to score39%2.27
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.57
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Al-Dhafra to score76%fair 1.32
Dubai United to score79%fair 1.26
Al-Dhafra clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Dubai United clean sheet24%fair 4.13
Al-Dhafra to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Dubai United to win to nil22%fair 4.50
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.2%
1-28.8%
2-18%
0-17.9%
1-07.1%
2-26.2%
Half-time / full-time
Dubai United / Dubai United24.8%
Al-Dhafra / Al-Dhafra20.3%
Draw / Dubai United13.7%
Draw / Draw13.6%
Draw / Al-Dhafra11.9%
Questions about Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United
Al-Dhafra or Dubai United: which side does the model back?
The model gives Dubai United the best chance at 41%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 57%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. Al-Dhafra find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Dubai United in 79%.
When is Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United and where is the result shown?
Al-Dhafra vs Dubai United starts at 13:05 UTC on Friday, 16 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.