Persha Liga
UCSAHomeLLDWL
3:2Half-time 2:2
Lokomotiv KyivAwayDWDLW332938
UCSA winDrawLokomotiv Kyiv win
UCSAHomeLLDWLLokomotiv KyivAwayDWDLW- Kick-off Sun 25 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.45 1.16 : 1.29
- Favourite
- 39% Lokomotiv Kyiv
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.65 | 3.10 | 2.43 | 2.02 | 1.68 | 1.79 | 1.90 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.97 | 3.30 | 2.33 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.96 | 3.15 | 2.24 | 2.10 | 1.66 | - | - | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.98 | 3.07 | 2.28 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.82 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.97 | 3.30 | 2.33 | 2.21 | 1.67 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Lokomotiv Kyiv to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv prediction: UCSA 2.98 (Betwinner), draw 3.30 (Melbet), Lokomotiv Kyiv 2.43 (1xBet).
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.3%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.21 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.68 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (22Bet) and no 1.90 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
72%
Our prediction
UCSA or Lokomotiv Kyiv (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.68
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance2.02
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.75fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Lokomotiv Kyiv, full-time Lokomotiv Kyiv
23% chance4.33fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair
UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv prediction
UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv prediction and best bet
UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv prediction for the Persha Liga on Sunday, 25 October 2026: the model calls it close, UCSA 33%, draw 29%, Lokomotiv Kyiv 39%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
The goal expectancy is 2.45 in total, split 1.16 to UCSA and 1.29 to Lokomotiv Kyiv. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 44% and both teams to score 51%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is uCSA or Lokomotiv Kyiv (no draw) at 72%. The best price in our comparison is 1.30 at 22Bet, which implies 77%, so the model sits 5 points below the market.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv.
Form check: UCSA have won 1 of their last 5 with 6 scored and 9 conceded, Lokomotiv Kyiv 2 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 8.
A low-scoring UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 70%, over 2.5 at 44%, over 3.5 at 23%; under 2.5 is 56% and under 3.5 is 77%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.68.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. UCSA score in 69% of simulations against a 31% clean sheet for Lokomotiv Kyiv; Lokomotiv Kyiv score in 73% while UCSA shut them out 28% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%, followed by 0-1 (11.1%) and 1-0 (10%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Lokomotiv Kyiv, full-time Lokomotiv Kyiv is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.
All markets, UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 33% / 29% / 39% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
UCSA to win33%2.98
Draw29%3.30
Lokomotiv Kyiv to win39%2.43
UCSA, draw no bet46%fair 2.18
Lokomotiv Kyiv, draw no bet54%fair 1.85
Double chance
UCSA or draw61%1.56
Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw67%1.36
UCSA or Lokomotiv Kyiv (no draw)72%1.30
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.21
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.31
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 9.80
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.36
Under 2.5 goals56%1.68
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30
BTTS
Both teams to score51%2.02
Not both teams to score49%1.90
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.31
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
UCSA to score69%fair 1.46
Lokomotiv Kyiv to score73%fair 1.38
UCSA clean sheet28%fair 3.64
Lokomotiv Kyiv clean sheet31%fair 3.19
UCSA to win to nil25%fair 3.95
Lokomotiv Kyiv to win to nil29%fair 3.47
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.9%
0-111.1%
1-010%
0-08.6%
1-28.3%
2-17.5%
Half-time / full-time
Lokomotiv Kyiv / Lokomotiv Kyiv23.1%
UCSA / UCSA19%
Draw / Draw17.2%
Draw / Lokomotiv Kyiv14.4%
Draw / UCSA12.4%
Questions about UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv
Who will win UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
The model gives Lokomotiv Kyiv the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 29%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
What is the correct score prediction for UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 44% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. UCSA find the net in 69% of simulated matches and Lokomotiv Kyiv in 73%.
What time does UCSA vs Lokomotiv Kyiv kick off?
Kick-off is 10:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.