South Africa Premiership
TS GalaxyHomeLLD
v
Durban CityAwayDLWWL323137
TS Galaxy winDrawDurban City win
TS GalaxyHomeLLDDurban CityAwayDLWWL- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.02 0.96 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 37% Durban City
- Over 2.5 goals
- 33% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 40% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
TS Galaxy vs Durban City odds comparison
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
69%
Our prediction
TS Galaxy or Durban City (no draw)
1.44fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
67% chance1.49fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
60% chance1.68fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
60% chance1.67fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
14% chance7.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
22% chance4.65fair
First halfFirst-half goal
60% chance1.68fair
TS Galaxy vs Durban City prediction
TS Galaxy vs Durban City prediction and best bet
TS Galaxy vs Durban City prediction for the South Africa Premiership on Wednesday, 4 November 2026: the model calls it close, TS Galaxy 32%, draw 31%, Durban City 37%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.
Expected goals are 0.96 for TS Galaxy and 1.06 for Durban City, a total of 2.02, which puts over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams to score at 40%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for TS Galaxy vs Durban City is tS Galaxy or Durban City (no draw), a 69% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
The draw is live at 31%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
TS Galaxy average 0.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded across their last 3, Durban City 1.8 and 1.6 across 5.
A low-scoring TS Galaxy vs Durban City? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines TS Galaxy vs Durban City reads 60% for over 1.5, 33% for over 2.5 and 15% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 67%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 67%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 40%, built from TS Galaxy scoring in 62% of runs and Durban City in 65%; clean sheets come at 35% for TS Galaxy and 38% for Durban City.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for TS Galaxy vs Durban City: 0-1 (14.1%), 1-1 (13.5%) and 0-0 (13.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Draw, full-time Draw leads at 22%. A goal before the break is rated 60%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for TS Galaxy vs Durban City
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 32% / 31% / 37% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
TS Galaxy to win32%fair 3.13
Draw31%fair 3.27
Durban City to win37%fair 2.67
TS Galaxy, draw no bet46%fair 2.17
Durban City, draw no bet54%fair 1.86
Double chance
TS Galaxy or draw63%fair 1.60
Durban City or draw68%fair 1.47
TS Galaxy or Durban City (no draw)69%fair 1.44
Goals
Over 0.5 goals87%fair 1.15
Over 1.5 goals60%fair 1.67
Over 2.5 goals33%fair 3.03
Over 3.5 goals15%fair 6.80
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 18.52
Under 1.5 goals40%fair 2.49
Under 2.5 goals67%fair 1.49
Under 3.5 goals85%fair 1.17
BTTS
Both teams to score40%fair 2.48
Not both teams to score60%fair 1.68
Halves
First-half goal60%fair 1.68
Over 1.5 first-half goals23%fair 4.33
Second-half goal67%fair 1.49
Team goals
TS Galaxy to score62%fair 1.62
Durban City to score65%fair 1.53
TS Galaxy clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Durban City clean sheet38%fair 2.61
TS Galaxy to win to nil29%fair 3.40
Durban City to win to nil34%fair 2.91
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
0-114.1%
1-113.5%
0-013.3%
1-012.7%
0-27.5%
1-27.2%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw21.5%
Durban City / Durban City21.1%
TS Galaxy / TS Galaxy17.9%
Draw / Durban City14.6%
Draw / TS Galaxy12.9%
Questions about TS Galaxy vs Durban City
Who is favourite in TS Galaxy vs Durban City?
The model gives Durban City the best chance at 37%, with the draw at 31%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
TS Galaxy vs Durban City correct score: what does the model say?
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 33%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in TS Galaxy vs Durban City?
The BTTS yes line is rated 40%. TS Galaxy find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Durban City in 65%.
What time does TS Galaxy vs Durban City kick off?
Kick-off is 17:30 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.