South Africa Premiership
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4:1Half-time 1:0
Durban CityAwayDLWWL75178
Mamelodi Sundowns winDrawDurban City win
Mamelodi SundownsHomeWWDDWDurban CityAwayDLWWL- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.77 2.19 : 0.58
- Favourite
- 75% Mamelodi Sundowns
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 39% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.24 | 4.80 | 10.90 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 2.34 | 1.52 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.28 | 5.45 | 9.82 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.28 | 4.80 | 9.20 | 1.74 | 2.00 | 2.26 | 1.52 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.28 | 5.45 | 9.82 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.28 | 5.45 | 9.82 | 1.81 | 2.00 | 2.38 | 1.54 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Mamelodi Sundowns to win partner prices
BC.Game pay the best Mamelodi Sundowns price at 1.28, 22Bet lead the draw at 5.45 and 1xBet have Durban City longest at 10.90.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 94.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (22Bet) and under 2.5 2.00 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 2.38 (Melbet) and no 1.54 (Melbet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
75%
Our prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns to win
Double chanceMamelodi Sundowns or draw
92% chance1.03
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
52% chance1.81
BTTSNot both teams to score
61% chance1.54
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.31fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
15% chance6.67fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mamelodi Sundowns, full-time Mamelodi Sundowns
50% chance1.99fair
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City prediction
Our Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City prediction and pick
Mamelodi Sundowns host Durban City on Saturday, 31 October 2026 in the South Africa Premiership, and the model has Mamelodi Sundowns at 75%, the draw at 17% and Durban City at 8%: that is the Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City prediction in one line.
Mamelodi Sundowns are expected to score 2.19 and Durban City 0.58, so the total line is 2.77 goals; over 2.5 lands at 52% and BTTS at 39%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is mamelodi Sundowns to win at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.28 at BC.Game, which implies 78%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 92% chance, priced 1.03.
The draw sits at only 17%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches Mamelodi Sundowns stand at 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Durban City show 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 48% and under 3.5 70%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 52%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 52%; 22Bet pay 1.81.
The chance of both teams scoring is 39%, built from Mamelodi Sundowns scoring in 89% of runs and Durban City in 44%; clean sheets come at 56% for Mamelodi Sundowns and 11% for Durban City.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 15%, followed by 1-0 (13.7%) and 3-0 (11%).
Half-time / full-time: half-time Mamelodi Sundowns, full-time Mamelodi Sundowns is the top combination at 50%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.
Every market for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Mamelodi Sundowns to win75%1.28
Draw17%5.45
Durban City to win8%10.90
Mamelodi Sundowns, draw no bet90%fair 1.11
Durban City, draw no bet10%fair 9.90
Double chance
Mamelodi Sundowns or draw92%1.03
Durban City or draw26%3.50
Mamelodi Sundowns or Durban City (no draw)83%1.13
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.81
Over 3.5 goals30%fair 3.32
Over 4.5 goals15%fair 6.76
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Under 2.5 goals48%2.00
Under 3.5 goals70%fair 1.43
BTTS
Both teams to score39%2.38
Not both teams to score61%1.54
Halves
First-half goal71%fair 1.40
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.82
Second-half goal78%fair 1.28
Team goals
Mamelodi Sundowns to score89%fair 1.13
Durban City to score44%fair 2.27
Mamelodi Sundowns clean sheet56%fair 1.79
Durban City clean sheet11%fair 8.93
Mamelodi Sundowns to win to nil52%fair 1.94
Durban City to win to nil8%fair 12.99
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
2-015%
1-013.7%
3-011%
2-18.7%
1-18%
3-16.4%
Half-time / full-time
Mamelodi Sundowns / Mamelodi Sundowns50.3%
Draw / Mamelodi Sundowns21.7%
Draw / Draw11.4%
Durban City / Durban City4.3%
Draw / Durban City3.6%
Questions about Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City
Mamelodi Sundowns or Durban City: which side does the model back?
The model gives Mamelodi Sundowns the best chance at 75%, with the draw at 17%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 15%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 52%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City?
The BTTS yes line is rated 39%. Mamelodi Sundowns find the net in 89% of simulated matches and Durban City in 44%.
When is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City and where is the result shown?
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Durban City starts at 18:15 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.