Scotland League One
Hamilton AcademicalHomeWWWDD
1:1Half-time 1:0
MontroseAwayLLDWD701812
Hamilton Academical winDrawMontrose win
Hamilton AcademicalHomeWWWDDMontroseAwayLLDWD- Kick-off Sat 31 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.17 2.32 : 0.85
- Favourite
- 70% Hamilton Academical
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Hamilton Academical vs Montrose
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.35 | 4.45 | 7.09 | 1.53 | 2.28 | 1.74 | 1.96 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.51 | 4.06 | 6.24 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 1.41 | 4.10 | 6.60 | 1.81 | 1.91 | 1.96 | 1.69 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.51 | 4.06 | 6.24 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.51 | 4.06 | 6.24 | 1.97 | 1.83 | 2.02 | 1.74 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Hamilton Academical to win partner prices
Melbet pay the best Hamilton Academical price at 1.51, 1xBet lead the draw at 4.45 and 1xBet have Montrose longest at 7.09.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97.3%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.28 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.02 (Melbet) and no 1.96 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
70%
Our prediction
Hamilton Academical to win
Double chanceHamilton Academical or draw
88% chance1.10
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.97
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance2.02
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
83% chance1.21fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance8.85fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hamilton Academical, full-time Hamilton Academical
47% chance2.11fair
Hamilton Academical vs Montrose prediction
Our Hamilton Academical vs Montrose prediction and pick
Hamilton Academical vs Montrose prediction for the Scotland League One on Saturday, 31 October 2026: the model makes Hamilton Academical the clear favourite at 70%, with the draw at 18% and Montrose at 12%.
The goal expectancy is 3.17 in total, split 2.32 to Hamilton Academical and 0.85 to Montrose. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 61% and both teams to score 51%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Hamilton Academical to win is the main selection, rated 70%. The best price in our comparison is 1.51 at Melbet, which implies 66%, so the model sits 4 points above the market.
That gap is worth 5.7% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.
Hamilton Academical or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 88% chance, priced 1.10.
The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Hamilton Academical average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Montrose 1.0 and 1.6 across 5.
Hamilton Academical vs Montrose over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 83%, over 2.5 at 61%, over 3.5 at 39%; under 2.5 is 39% and under 3.5 is 61%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; Melbet pay 1.97.
Both teams to score is 51%: Hamilton Academical find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Montrose in 57%. Hamilton Academical keep a clean sheet 43% of the time and Montrose 10%.
Correct score: 2-0 leads at 11.3%, then 1-0 at 9.7% and 2-1 at 9.6%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.3% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Hamilton Academical, full-time Hamilton Academical leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 76%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Hamilton Academical vs Montrose
The grid built from 2.32 and 0.85 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Hamilton Academical to win70%1.51
Draw18%4.45
Montrose to win12%7.09
Hamilton Academical, draw no bet85%fair 1.17
Montrose, draw no bet15%fair 6.85
Double chance
Hamilton Academical or draw88%1.10
Montrose or draw30%2.73
Hamilton Academical or Montrose (no draw)82%1.22
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals83%fair 1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.97
Over 3.5 goals39%fair 2.56
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.67
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.71
Under 2.5 goals39%2.28
Under 3.5 goals61%fair 1.64
BTTS
Both teams to score51%2.02
Not both teams to score49%1.96
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals42%fair 2.40
Second-half goal83%fair 1.21
Team goals
Hamilton Academical to score90%fair 1.11
Montrose to score57%fair 1.75
Hamilton Academical clean sheet43%fair 2.34
Montrose clean sheet10%fair 10.20
Hamilton Academical to win to nil39%fair 2.54
Montrose to win to nil9%fair 11.11
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-011.3%
1-09.7%
2-19.6%
3-08.7%
1-18.3%
3-17.4%
Half-time / full-time
Hamilton Academical / Hamilton Academical47.4%
Draw / Hamilton Academical19.7%
Draw / Draw10.2%
Montrose / Montrose6.5%
Draw / Montrose4.7%
Questions about Hamilton Academical vs Montrose
Who is favourite in Hamilton Academical vs Montrose?
The model gives Hamilton Academical the best chance at 70%, with the draw at 18%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Montrose?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.
Hamilton Academical vs Montrose both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Hamilton Academical find the net in 90% of simulated matches and Montrose in 57%.
What time does Hamilton Academical vs Montrose kick off?
Hamilton Academical vs Montrose starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.