Scotland League One
Alloa AthleticHomeLLWLL
0:1Half-time 0:1
Queen of the SouthAwayWWLWL552223
Alloa Athletic winDrawQueen of the South win
Alloa AthleticHomeLLWLLQueen of the SouthAwayWWLWL- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.14 1.96 : 1.18
- Favourite
- 55% Alloa Athletic
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.75 | 4.04 | 1.58 | 2.18 | 1.58 | 2.21 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Alloa Athletic to win partner prices
1xBet pay the best Alloa Athletic price at 1.69, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.75 and 1xBet have Queen of the South longest at 4.04.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.58 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.18 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.58 (1xBet) and no 2.21 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
55%
Our prediction
Alloa Athletic to win
Double chanceAlloa Athletic or Queen of the South (no draw)
78% chance1.19
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
61% chance1.58
BTTSBoth teams to score
60% chance1.58
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.22fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Alloa Athletic, full-time Alloa Athletic
35% chance2.83fair
Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South prediction
Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South prediction and best bet
Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South prediction for the Scotland League One on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Alloa Athletic a narrow favourite at 55%, with the draw at 22% and Queen of the South at 23%.
Expected goals are 1.96 for Alloa Athletic and 1.18 for Queen of the South, a total of 3.14, which puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 60%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is alloa Athletic to win at 55%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.69. That price implies 59%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South.
For a safer line, alloa Athletic or Queen of the South (no draw) covers 78% of outcomes at 1.19.
Form check: Alloa Athletic have won 1 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 10 conceded, Queen of the South 3 of 5 scoring 7 and conceding 12.
Goals forecast for Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South reads 82% for over 1.5, 61% for over 2.5 and 38% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 39%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 61%; 1xBet pay 1.58.
BTTS yes stands at 60%. Alloa Athletic score in 86% of simulations against a 14% clean sheet for Queen of the South; Queen of the South score in 69% while Alloa Athletic shut them out 31% of the time.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10%, followed by 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Alloa Athletic, full-time Alloa Athletic is the top combination at 35%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 76%.
All markets, Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South
The grid built from 1.96 and 1.18 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Alloa Athletic to win55%1.69
Draw22%3.75
Queen of the South to win23%4.04
Alloa Athletic, draw no bet71%fair 1.41
Queen of the South, draw no bet29%fair 3.46
Double chance
Alloa Athletic or draw78%1.16
Queen of the South or draw45%1.94
Alloa Athletic or Queen of the South (no draw)78%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.04
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.22
Over 2.5 goals61%1.58
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.60
Over 4.5 goals21%fair 4.78
Under 1.5 goals18%fair 5.59
Under 2.5 goals39%2.18
Under 3.5 goals62%fair 1.62
BTTS
Both teams to score60%1.58
Not both teams to score41%2.21
Halves
First-half goal76%fair 1.32
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.42
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22
Team goals
Alloa Athletic to score86%fair 1.16
Queen of the South to score69%fair 1.44
Alloa Athletic clean sheet31%fair 3.26
Queen of the South clean sheet14%fair 7.09
Alloa Athletic to win to nil28%fair 3.53
Queen of the South to win to nil13%fair 7.69
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110%
2-19.8%
1-08.5%
2-08.3%
3-16.4%
1-25.9%
Half-time / full-time
Alloa Athletic / Alloa Athletic35.3%
Draw / Alloa Athletic16.9%
Queen of the South / Queen of the South12.8%
Draw / Draw12.1%
Draw / Queen of the South8.1%
Questions about Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?
The model gives Alloa Athletic the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 61% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. Alloa Athletic find the net in 86% of simulated matches and Queen of the South in 69%.
When is Alloa Athletic vs Queen of the South and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.