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Liga Panameña de Fútbol Apertura - 14 Sunday, 1 November 2026 FT
Independiente de La ChorreraHomeLDWWW
3:1Half-time 1:0
San Francisco FCAwayWLWWL
342838
Independiente de La Chorrera winDrawSan Francisco FC win
Kick-off
Sun 1 Nov
Expected goals
2.59
1.25 : 1.34
Favourite
38%
San Francisco FC
Over 2.5 goals
48%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
4
in the odds table

Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.743.342.482.111.731.931.82Bet
BC.Game2.743.202.381.971.76--Bet
Betwinner2.743.342.482.111.731.931.82Bet
Melbet2.743.342.482.111.731.931.82Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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San Francisco FC to win partner prices

BC.Game pay the best Independiente de La Chorrera price at 2.74, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.34 and 22Bet have San Francisco FC longest at 2.48.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 93.6%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 2.11 (22Bet) and under 2.5 1.76 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.93 (22Bet) and no 1.82 (22Bet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

72%

Our prediction

Independiente de La Chorrera or San Francisco FC (no draw)
LeanWonExpected goals 1.25 : 1.34-6.5% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
52% chance1.76
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.93Won
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
73% chance1.37fairWon
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fairLost
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time San Francisco FC, full-time San Francisco FC
23% chance4.39fairLost
First halfFirst-half goal
69% chance1.45fairWon

Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC prediction

Our Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC prediction and pick

Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC prediction for the Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Sunday, 1 November 2026: the model calls it close, Independiente de La Chorrera 34%, draw 28%, San Francisco FC 38%.

With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Independiente de La Chorrera are expected to score 1.25 and San Francisco FC 1.34, so the total line is 2.59 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 54%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Independiente de La Chorrera or San Francisco FC (no draw) is the main selection, rated 72%. At 1.30 with 22Bet the market prices it at 77%, against 72% from the model.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Independiente de La Chorrera have won 3 of their last 5 with 8 scored and 5 conceded, San Francisco FC 3 of 5 scoring 8 and conceding 6.

Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 74%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 73% and over 2.5 at 48%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.76 at BC.Game.

The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Independiente de La Chorrera scoring in 71% of runs and San Francisco FC in 74%; clean sheets come at 26% for Independiente de La Chorrera and 29% for San Francisco FC.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%, followed by 0-1 (10.1%) and 1-0 (9.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time San Francisco FC, full-time San Francisco FC leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 69%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC

The grid built from 1.25 and 1.34 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Independiente de La Chorrera to win34%2.74
Draw28%3.34
San Francisco FC to win38%2.48
Independiente de La Chorrera, draw no bet47%fair 2.13
San Francisco FC, draw no bet53%fair 1.89

Double chance

Independiente de La Chorrera or draw62%1.50
San Francisco FC or draw66%1.42
Independiente de La Chorrera or San Francisco FC (no draw)72%1.30

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals73%fair 1.37
Over 2.5 goals48%2.11
Over 3.5 goals26%fair 3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%fair 8.26
Under 1.5 goals27%fair 3.72
Under 2.5 goals52%1.76
Under 3.5 goals74%fair 1.36

BTTS

Both teams to score54%1.93
Not both teams to score46%1.82

Halves

First-half goal69%fair 1.45
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.08
Second-half goal76%fair 1.32

Team goals

Independiente de La Chorrera to score71%fair 1.40
San Francisco FC to score74%fair 1.36
Independiente de La Chorrera clean sheet26%fair 3.82
San Francisco FC clean sheet29%fair 3.48
Independiente de La Chorrera to win to nil24%fair 4.15
San Francisco FC to win to nil26%fair 3.79

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
0-110.1%
1-09.4%
1-28.4%
2-17.9%
0-07.5%

Half-time / full-time

San Francisco FC / San Francisco FC22.8%
Independiente de La Chorrera / Independiente de La Chorrera20.1%
Draw / Draw16.2%
Draw / San Francisco FC13.9%
Draw / Independiente de La Chorrera12.6%

Questions about Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC

Who will win Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC?

The model gives San Francisco FC the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What is the correct score prediction for Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 48%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Independiente de La Chorrera find the net in 71% of simulated matches and San Francisco FC in 74%.

When is Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC and where is the result shown?

Independiente de La Chorrera vs San Francisco FC starts at 23:15 UTC on Sunday, 1 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Independiente de La Chorrera v San Francisco FCIndependiente de La Chorrera or San Francisco FC (no draw), 72%
1.30Bet