Professional League
Al NasrHomeWL
Wed 4 Nov
SurAwayLLW671914
Al Nasr winDrawSur win
Al NasrHomeWLSurAwayLLW- Kick-off Wed 4 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.00 2.14 : 0.86
- Favourite
- 67% Al Nasr
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Al Nasr vs Sur
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
67%
Our prediction
Al Nasr to win
1.50fair
Double chanceAl Nasr or draw
86% chance1.16fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.74fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.97fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Nasr, full-time Al Nasr
44% chance2.27fair
Al Nasr vs Sur prediction
Al Nasr vs Sur prediction, who wins and at what price
Al Nasr vs Sur prediction for the Professional League on Wednesday, 4 November 2026: the model makes Al Nasr the clear favourite at 67%, with the draw at 19% and Sur at 14%.
Expected goals are 2.14 for Al Nasr and 0.86 for Sur, a total of 3.00, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 51%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
Al Nasr to win is the main selection, rated 67%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
For a safer line, al Nasr or draw covers 86% of outcomes.
With the draw down at 19%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
How many goals in Al Nasr vs Sur? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 35%; under 2.5 is 43% and under 3.5 is 65%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%.
BTTS yes stands at 51%. Al Nasr score in 88% of simulations against a 12% clean sheet for Sur; Sur score in 58% while Al Nasr shut them out 42% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 11.4%, followed by 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.8%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Al Nasr, full-time Al Nasr leads at 44%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Al Nasr vs Sur
The grid built from 2.14 and 0.86 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Al Nasr to win67%fair 1.50
Draw19%fair 5.18
Sur to win14%fair 7.19
Al Nasr, draw no bet83%fair 1.21
Sur, draw no bet17%fair 5.81
Double chance
Al Nasr or draw86%fair 1.16
Sur or draw33%fair 3.01
Al Nasr or Sur (no draw)81%fair 1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals58%fair 1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%fair 2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.03
Under 2.5 goals43%fair 2.35
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55
BTTS
Both teams to score51%fair 1.97
Not both teams to score49%fair 2.03
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.56
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Al Nasr to score88%fair 1.13
Sur to score58%fair 1.73
Al Nasr clean sheet42%fair 2.36
Sur clean sheet12%fair 8.47
Al Nasr to win to nil39%fair 2.57
Sur to win to nil11%fair 9.26
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-011.4%
1-010.7%
2-19.8%
1-19.2%
3-08.1%
3-17%
Half-time / full-time
Al Nasr / Al Nasr44.1%
Draw / Al Nasr19.6%
Draw / Draw11.5%
Sur / Sur7.5%
Draw / Sur5.4%
Questions about Al Nasr vs Sur
Who is favourite in Al Nasr vs Sur?
The model gives Al Nasr the best chance at 67%, with the draw at 19%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Al Nasr vs Sur correct score: what does the model say?
2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in Al Nasr vs Sur?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Al Nasr find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Sur in 58%.
When is Al Nasr vs Sur and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 13:05 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.