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Live 6 UTC
Norway 1. Division Semi-finals Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
BjargHome
Sat 7 Nov
KjelsåsAway
482131
Bjarg winDrawKjelsås win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
3.77
2.11 : 1.66
Favourite
48%
Bjarg
Over 2.5 goals
72%
model chance
Both teams to score
71%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Best odds for Bjarg vs Kjelsås

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

79%

Our prediction

Bjarg or Kjelsås (no draw)
StrongExpected goals 2.11 : 1.66
1.27fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
71% chance1.41fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.12fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.76fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bjarg, full-time Bjarg
31% chance3.27fair
First halfFirst-half goal
82% chance1.22fair

Bjarg vs Kjelsås prediction

Our Bjarg vs Kjelsås prediction and pick

Bjarg host Kjelsås on Saturday, 7 November 2026 in the Norway 1. Division, and the model has Bjarg at 48%, the draw at 21% and Kjelsås at 31%: that is the Bjarg vs Kjelsås prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 2.11 for Bjarg and 1.66 for Kjelsås, a total of 3.77, which puts over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 71%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is bjarg or Kjelsås (no draw) at 79%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

Bjarg vs Kjelsås over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 28% and under 3.5 48%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 89% and over 2.5 at 72%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 72%.

Both teams to score is 71%: Bjarg find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Kjelsås in 81%. Bjarg keep a clean sheet 19% of the time and Kjelsås 12%.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 71%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Bjarg vs Kjelsås: 2-1 (8.5%), 1-1 (8.1%) and 2-2 (7.1%).

With the top scoreline at 8.5%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Bjarg vs Kjelsås; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bjarg, full-time Bjarg leads at 31%. A goal before the break is rated 82%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Bjarg vs Kjelsås

The grid built from 2.11 and 1.66 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Bjarg to win48%fair 2.07
Draw21%fair 4.76
Kjelsås to win31%fair 3.26
Bjarg, draw no bet61%fair 1.64
Kjelsås, draw no bet39%fair 2.57

Double chance

Bjarg or draw69%fair 1.44
Kjelsås or draw52%fair 1.93
Bjarg or Kjelsås (no draw)79%fair 1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 3.5 goals52%fair 1.92
Over 4.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 9.09
Under 2.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Under 3.5 goals48%fair 2.08

BTTS

Both teams to score71%fair 1.41
Not both teams to score29%fair 3.44

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 first-half goals51%fair 1.98
Second-half goal87%fair 1.14

Team goals

Bjarg to score88%fair 1.14
Kjelsås to score81%fair 1.23
Bjarg clean sheet19%fair 5.26
Kjelsås clean sheet12%fair 8.26
Bjarg to win to nil18%fair 5.71
Kjelsås to win to nil11%fair 8.93

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-18.5%
1-18.1%
2-27.1%
1-26.7%
3-16%
2-05.1%

Half-time / full-time

Bjarg / Bjarg30.6%
Kjelsås / Kjelsås18.3%
Draw / Bjarg14%
Draw / Draw10.1%
Draw / Kjelsås9.7%

Questions about Bjarg vs Kjelsås

Bjarg or Kjelsås: which side does the model back?

The model gives Bjarg the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 21%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

Bjarg vs Kjelsås correct score: what does the model say?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 72%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Bjarg vs Kjelsås?

The BTTS yes line is rated 71%. Bjarg find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Kjelsås in 81%.

What time does Bjarg vs Kjelsås kick off?

Bjarg vs Kjelsås starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Bjarg v KjelsåsBjarg or Kjelsås (no draw), 79%
1.27fair