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Northern Ireland Premiership Round 15 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
PortadownHomeWDWLL
Sat 7 Nov
Ballymena UnitedAwayWWLWL
302545
Portadown winDrawBallymena United win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.92
1.30 : 1.62
Favourite
44%
Ballymena United
Over 2.5 goals
56%
model chance
Both teams to score
59%
model chance
Prices compared
3
in the odds table

Portadown vs Ballymena United betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
22Bet2.853.452.151.642.081.552.27Bet
Betwinner2.853.452.151.642.081.552.27Bet
Melbet2.853.452.151.642.081.552.27Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Ballymena United to win partner prices

Best 1X2 lines behind the Portadown vs Ballymena United prediction: Portadown 2.85 (Betwinner), draw 3.45 (Betwinner), Ballymena United 2.15 (Betwinner).

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.4%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.64 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.08 (Melbet); both teams to score yes pays 1.55 (Melbet) and no 2.27 (Melbet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

75%

Our prediction

Portadown or Ballymena United (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.30 : 1.62-9% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.64
BTTSBoth teams to score
59% chance1.55
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance8.77fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Ballymena United, full-time Ballymena United
27% chance3.66fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.37fair

Portadown v Ballymena United head to head

0Portadown wins
0Draws
1Ballymena United wins
  • 26 Sep 26Ballymena United2:0Portadown

1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Portadown scored 0, Ballymena United scored 2.

Portadown vs Ballymena United prediction

Portadown vs Ballymena United prediction and best bet

The Portadown vs Ballymena United prediction leans to Ballymena United: 44% against 30% for Portadown, with 25% left for the draw, in the Northern Ireland Premiership on Saturday, 7 November 2026.

Portadown are expected to score 1.30 and Ballymena United 1.62, so the total line is 2.92 goals; over 2.5 lands at 56% and BTTS at 59%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Our main pick is portadown or Ballymena United (no draw) at 75%. The best price in our comparison is 1.22 at 22Bet, which implies 82%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Portadown vs Ballymena United.

Portadown average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, Ballymena United 1.4 and 1.0 across 5.

Portadown vs Ballymena United goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

On the goal lines Portadown vs Ballymena United reads 79% for over 1.5, 56% for over 2.5 and 34% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 44%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 56%, best priced 1.64 at Melbet.

The chance of both teams scoring is 59%, built from Portadown scoring in 73% of runs and Ballymena United in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for Portadown and 27% for Ballymena United.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.4%, then 1-2 at 9.2% and 0-1 at 8.7%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Ballymena United, full-time Ballymena United is the top combination at 27%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.

All markets, Portadown vs Ballymena United

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 30% / 25% / 44% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Portadown to win30%2.85
Draw25%3.45
Ballymena United to win44%2.15
Portadown, draw no bet41%fair 2.47
Ballymena United, draw no bet60%fair 1.68

Double chance

Portadown or draw56%1.56
Ballymena United or draw70%1.32
Portadown or Ballymena United (no draw)75%1.22

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%1.64
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.99
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.85
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.74
Under 2.5 goals44%2.08
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.50

BTTS

Both teams to score59%1.55
Not both teams to score41%2.27

Halves

First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.65
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25

Team goals

Portadown to score73%fair 1.38
Ballymena United to score80%fair 1.25
Portadown clean sheet20%fair 5.05
Ballymena United clean sheet27%fair 3.66
Portadown to win to nil18%fair 5.49
Ballymena United to win to nil25%fair 3.98

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
1-29.2%
0-18.7%
2-17.4%
0-27.1%
1-07%

Half-time / full-time

Ballymena United / Ballymena United27.3%
Portadown / Portadown17.8%
Draw / Ballymena United14.9%
Draw / Draw13.9%
Draw / Portadown10.9%

Questions about Portadown vs Ballymena United

Who will win Portadown vs Ballymena United?

The model gives Ballymena United the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Portadown vs Ballymena United correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 56% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Portadown vs Ballymena United?

The BTTS yes line is rated 59%. Portadown find the net in 73% of simulated matches and Ballymena United in 80%.

What time does Portadown vs Ballymena United kick off?

Portadown vs Ballymena United starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Portadown v Ballymena UnitedPortadown or Ballymena United (no draw), 75%
1.22Bet