Botola Pro
Difaa EL JadidaHomeLWWDD
4:1Half-time 1:1
Moghreb TetouanAwayDDLLL582319
Difaa EL Jadida winDrawMoghreb Tetouan win
Difaa EL JadidaHomeLWWDDMoghreb TetouanAwayDDLLL- Kick-off Sat 17 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.66 1.75 : 0.91
- Favourite
- 58% Difaa EL Jadida
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.69 | 4.38 | 1.86 | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.83 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Difaa EL Jadida to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan are 1.64 for Difaa EL Jadida at 1xBet, 3.69 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.38 for Moghreb Tetouan at 1xBet.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.86 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.80 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.83 (1xBet) and no 1.83 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
58%
Our prediction
Difaa EL Jadida to win
Double chanceDifaa EL Jadida or draw
81% chance1.14
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.80
BTTSBoth teams to score
50% chance1.83
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.34fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
12% chance8.20fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Difaa EL Jadida, full-time Difaa EL Jadida
36% chance2.79fair
Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction
Our Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction and pick
Difaa EL Jadida host Moghreb Tetouan on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the Botola Pro, and the model has Difaa EL Jadida at 58%, the draw at 23% and Moghreb Tetouan at 19%: that is the Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction in one line.
Expected goals are 1.75 for Difaa EL Jadida and 0.91 for Moghreb Tetouan, a total of 2.66, which puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Difaa EL Jadida to win is the main selection, rated 58%. The best price in our comparison is 1.64 at 1xBet, which implies 61%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
For a safer line, difaa EL Jadida or draw covers 81% of outcomes at 1.14.
Over the last 5 matches Difaa EL Jadida stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Moghreb Tetouan show 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 74%, over 2.5 at 49%, over 3.5 at 28%; under 2.5 is 51% and under 3.5 is 72%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 51%; 1xBet pay 1.80.
Both teams to score is 50%: Difaa EL Jadida find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Moghreb Tetouan in 60%. Difaa EL Jadida keep a clean sheet 40% of the time and Moghreb Tetouan 17%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan: 1-0 (12.2%), 1-1 (11.1%) and 2-0 (10.7%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Difaa EL Jadida, full-time Difaa EL Jadida leads at 36%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan
The grid built from 1.75 and 0.91 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Difaa EL Jadida to win58%1.64
Draw23%3.69
Moghreb Tetouan to win19%4.38
Difaa EL Jadida, draw no bet75%fair 1.33
Moghreb Tetouan, draw no bet25%fair 4.00
Double chance
Difaa EL Jadida or draw81%1.14
Moghreb Tetouan or draw43%2.00
Difaa EL Jadida or Moghreb Tetouan (no draw)77%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%1.86
Over 3.5 goals28%fair 3.61
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.63
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.91
Under 2.5 goals51%1.80
Under 3.5 goals72%fair 1.38
BTTS
Both teams to score50%1.83
Not both teams to score50%1.83
Halves
First-half goal70%fair 1.43
Over 1.5 first-half goals34%fair 2.98
Second-half goal77%fair 1.30
Team goals
Difaa EL Jadida to score83%fair 1.21
Moghreb Tetouan to score60%fair 1.68
Difaa EL Jadida clean sheet40%fair 2.48
Moghreb Tetouan clean sheet17%fair 5.75
Difaa EL Jadida to win to nil37%fair 2.70
Moghreb Tetouan to win to nil16%fair 6.25
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-012.2%
1-111.1%
2-010.7%
2-19.7%
0-07%
0-16.4%
Half-time / full-time
Difaa EL Jadida / Difaa EL Jadida35.9%
Draw / Difaa EL Jadida18.6%
Draw / Draw14.6%
Moghreb Tetouan / Moghreb Tetouan10.6%
Draw / Moghreb Tetouan7.6%
Questions about Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan
Who is favourite in Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
The model gives Difaa EL Jadida the best chance at 58%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 12.2%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 49%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Difaa EL Jadida find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Moghreb Tetouan in 60%.
When is Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 20:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.