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A Lyga Round 33 Monday, 19 October 2026 FT
Suduva MarijampoleHomeDLLW
0:1Half-time 0:0
Kauno ŽalgirisAwayLWLDW
232849
Suduva Marijampole winDrawKauno Žalgiris win
Kick-off
Mon 19 Oct
Expected goals
2.43
0.95 : 1.48
Favourite
49%
Kauno Žalgiris
Over 2.5 goals
43%
model chance
Both teams to score
49%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris betting odds by bookmaker

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet3.903.161.892.061.651.861.81Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Kauno Žalgiris to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Suduva Marijampole price at 3.90, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.16 and 1xBet have Kauno Žalgiris longest at 1.89.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.06 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.65 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.86 (1xBet) and no 1.81 (1xBet).

Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.

77%

Our prediction

Kauno Žalgiris or draw
StrongExpected goals 0.95 : 1.48-9.4% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
57% chance1.65
BTTSNot both teams to score
52% chance1.81
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
70% chance1.43fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
13% chance7.69fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Kauno Žalgiris, full-time Kauno Žalgiris
30% chance3.34fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.50fair

Suduva Marijampole v Kauno Žalgiris head to head

0Suduva Marijampole wins
0Draws
1Kauno Žalgiris wins
  • 9 Sep 26Kauno Žalgiris5:1Suduva Marijampole

1 meeting since coverage began, 6 goals in total: Suduva Marijampole scored 1, Kauno Žalgiris scored 5.

Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction

Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction and best bet

Suduva Marijampole host Kauno Žalgiris on Monday, 19 October 2026 in the A Lyga, and the model has Kauno Žalgiris at 49%, the draw at 28% and Suduva Marijampole at 23%: that is the Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.43 in total, split 0.95 to Suduva Marijampole and 1.48 to Kauno Žalgiris. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 43% and both teams to score 49%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Kauno Žalgiris or draw is the main selection, rated 77%. The best price in our comparison is 1.18 at 1xBet, which implies 85%, so the model sits 8 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Form check: Suduva Marijampole have won 1 of their last 4 with 3 scored and 7 conceded, Kauno Žalgiris 2 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 9.

A low-scoring Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Under 2.5 goals is rated 57% and under 3.5 77%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 70% and over 2.5 at 43%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 57%, best priced 1.65 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 49%. Suduva Marijampole score in 61% of simulations against a 39% clean sheet for Kauno Žalgiris; Kauno Žalgiris score in 77% while Suduva Marijampole shut them out 23% of the time.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13%, followed by 1-1 (12.4%) and 0-2 (9.6%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 13% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Kauno Žalgiris, full-time Kauno Žalgiris is the top combination at 30%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 67%.

Every market rated for Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris

The grid built from 0.95 and 1.48 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Suduva Marijampole to win23%3.90
Draw28%3.16
Kauno Žalgiris to win49%1.89
Suduva Marijampole, draw no bet32%fair 3.11
Kauno Žalgiris, draw no bet68%fair 1.47

Double chance

Suduva Marijampole or draw51%1.75
Kauno Žalgiris or draw77%1.18
Suduva Marijampole or Kauno Žalgiris (no draw)72%1.27

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals70%fair 1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.06
Over 3.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.00
Under 1.5 goals30%fair 3.31
Under 2.5 goals57%1.65
Under 3.5 goals77%fair 1.30

BTTS

Both teams to score49%1.86
Not both teams to score52%1.81

Halves

First-half goal67%fair 1.50
Over 1.5 first-half goals30%fair 3.34
Second-half goal74%fair 1.36

Team goals

Suduva Marijampole to score61%fair 1.63
Kauno Žalgiris to score77%fair 1.30
Suduva Marijampole clean sheet23%fair 4.39
Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Suduva Marijampole to win to nil21%fair 4.78
Kauno Žalgiris to win to nil36%fair 2.81

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-113%
1-112.4%
0-29.6%
1-29.2%
0-08.8%
1-08.4%

Half-time / full-time

Kauno Žalgiris / Kauno Žalgiris29.9%
Draw / Kauno Žalgiris17.3%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Suduva Marijampole / Suduva Marijampole13.4%
Draw / Suduva Marijampole9.5%

Questions about Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris

Who is favourite in Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?

The model gives Kauno Žalgiris the best chance at 49%, with the draw at 28%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 13%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 43%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Suduva Marijampole vs Kauno Žalgiris?

The BTTS yes line is rated 49%. Suduva Marijampole find the net in 61% of simulated matches and Kauno Žalgiris in 77%.

When do Suduva Marijampole play Kauno Žalgiris?

Kick-off is 15:45 UTC on Monday, 19 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Suduva Marijampole v Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris or draw, 77%
1.18Bet