Ivory Coast Ligue 1
StellaHomeLDDW
Thu 5 Nov
AFADAwayDDDLW353233
Stella winDrawAFAD win
StellaHomeLDDWAFADAwayDDDLW- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 1.94 0.99 : 0.95
- Favourite
- 35% Stella
- Over 2.5 goals
- 30% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 41% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Stella vs AFAD odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.65 | 2.68 | 2.69 | 2.74 | 1.35 | 2.20 | 1.57 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Stella to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Stella vs AFAD prediction: Stella 2.65 (1xBet), draw 2.68 (1xBet), AFAD 2.69 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 89.1%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.74 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.35 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.20 (1xBet) and no 1.57 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
68%
Our prediction
Stella or AFAD (no draw)
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
70% chance1.35
BTTSNot both teams to score
59% chance1.57
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
58% chance1.73fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-0
14% chance6.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Draw, full-time Draw
23% chance4.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
58% chance1.72fair
Stella vs AFAD prediction
Stella vs AFAD prediction and best bet
The Stella vs AFAD prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Ivory Coast Ligue 1 on Thursday, 5 November 2026 gives Stella a 35% chance, AFAD 33% and the draw 32%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Stella are expected to score 0.99 and AFAD 0.95, so the total line is 1.94 goals; over 2.5 lands at 30% and BTTS at 41%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Stella vs AFAD is stella or AFAD (no draw), a 68% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.33 at 1xBet, which implies 75%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
The draw is live at 32%, above the one-in-four baseline, which is why the double chance beats the straight win here.
Stella average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 4, AFAD 1.2 and 0.8 across 5.
A low-scoring Stella vs AFAD? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 58%, over 2.5 at 30%, over 3.5 at 13%; under 2.5 is 70% and under 3.5 is 87%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 70%, best priced 1.35 at 1xBet.
The chance of both teams scoring is 41%, built from Stella scoring in 63% of runs and AFAD in 61%; clean sheets come at 39% for Stella and 37% for AFAD.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.
The most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 14.4%, followed by 1-0 (14.2%) and 0-1 (13.7%).
With the top scoreline at 14.4%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Stella vs AFAD; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Draw, full-time Draw is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 58%.
Every market for Stella vs AFAD
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Stella vs AFAD, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Stella to win35%2.65
Draw32%2.68
AFAD to win33%2.69
Stella, draw no bet51%fair 1.95
AFAD, draw no bet49%fair 2.06
Double chance
Stella or draw67%1.33
AFAD or draw65%1.34
Stella or AFAD (no draw)68%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.17
Over 1.5 goals58%fair 1.73
Over 2.5 goals30%2.74
Over 3.5 goals13%fair 7.58
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 21.28
Under 1.5 goals42%fair 2.37
Under 2.5 goals70%1.35
Under 3.5 goals87%fair 1.15
BTTS
Both teams to score41%2.20
Not both teams to score59%1.57
Halves
First-half goal58%fair 1.72
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.59
Second-half goal66%fair 1.52
Team goals
Stella to score63%fair 1.59
AFAD to score61%fair 1.63
Stella clean sheet39%fair 2.58
AFAD clean sheet37%fair 2.69
Stella to win to nil32%fair 3.10
AFAD to win to nil31%fair 3.28
Odd or even
Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96
Most likely scores
0-014.4%
1-014.2%
0-113.7%
1-113.5%
2-07%
2-16.7%
Half-time / full-time
Draw / Draw22.5%
Stella / Stella19.8%
AFAD / AFAD18.5%
Draw / Stella14.2%
Draw / AFAD13.4%
Questions about Stella vs AFAD
Who will win Stella vs AFAD?
The model gives Stella the best chance at 35%, with the draw at 32%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Stella vs AFAD correct score: what does the model say?
0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 30%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Stella vs AFAD?
The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. Stella find the net in 63% of simulated matches and AFAD in 61%.
What time does Stella vs AFAD kick off?
Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.