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Ivory Coast Ligue 1 Round 4 Thursday, 5 November 2026 Kick-off
San-PédroHomeWWWLL
Thu 5 Nov
SOAAwayWDWW
283042
San-Pédro winDrawSOA win
Kick-off
Thu 5 Nov
Expected goals
2.08
0.89 : 1.19
Favourite
43%
SOA
Over 2.5 goals
35%
model chance
Both teams to score
41%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

San-Pédro vs SOA betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened San-Pédro vs SOA yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

72%

Our prediction

SOA or draw
LeanExpected goals 0.89 : 1.19
1.39fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
66% chance1.53fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
59% chance1.70fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
62% chance1.63fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
15% chance6.71fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time SOA, full-time SOA
25% chance4.02fair
First halfFirst-half goal
61% chance1.64fair

San-Pédro vs SOA prediction

San-Pédro vs SOA prediction and best bet

San-Pédro host SOA on Thursday, 5 November 2026 in the Ivory Coast Ligue 1, and the model has SOA at 43%, the draw at 30% and San-Pédro at 28%: that is the San-Pédro vs SOA prediction in one line.

Expected goals are 0.89 for San-Pédro and 1.19 for SOA, a total of 2.08, which puts over 2.5 goals at 35% and both teams to score at 41%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

SOA or draw is the main selection, rated 72%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Form check: San-Pédro have won 3 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 5 conceded, SOA 3 of 4 scoring 6 and conceding 2.

A low-scoring San-Pédro vs SOA? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 62%, over 2.5 at 35%, over 3.5 at 16%; under 2.5 is 66% and under 3.5 is 84%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 66%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 41%, built from San-Pédro scoring in 59% of runs and SOA in 70%; clean sheets come at 30% for San-Pédro and 41% for SOA.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 59%.

The most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 14.9%, followed by 1-1 (13.2%) and 0-0 (12.5%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 14.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time SOA, full-time SOA leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 61%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, San-Pédro vs SOA

The grid built from 0.89 and 1.19 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

San-Pédro to win28%fair 3.60
Draw30%fair 3.37
SOA to win43%fair 2.35
San-Pédro, draw no bet40%fair 2.53
SOA, draw no bet61%fair 1.65

Double chance

San-Pédro or draw58%fair 1.74
SOA or draw72%fair 1.39
San-Pédro or SOA (no draw)70%fair 1.42

Goals

Over 0.5 goals88%fair 1.14
Over 1.5 goals62%fair 1.63
Over 2.5 goals35%fair 2.90
Over 3.5 goals16%fair 6.33
Over 4.5 goals6%fair 16.67
Under 1.5 goals39%fair 2.60
Under 2.5 goals66%fair 1.53
Under 3.5 goals84%fair 1.19

BTTS

Both teams to score41%fair 2.43
Not both teams to score59%fair 1.70

Halves

First-half goal61%fair 1.64
Over 1.5 first-half goals24%fair 4.15
Second-half goal68%fair 1.47

Team goals

San-Pédro to score59%fair 1.70
SOA to score70%fair 1.44
San-Pédro clean sheet30%fair 3.29
SOA clean sheet41%fair 2.43
San-Pédro to win to nil26%fair 3.91
SOA to win to nil38%fair 2.65

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.03
Even number of goals51%fair 1.97

Most likely scores

0-114.9%
1-113.2%
0-012.5%
1-011.1%
0-28.8%
1-27.9%

Half-time / full-time

SOA / SOA24.9%
Draw / Draw20.6%
Draw / SOA16.3%
San-Pédro / San-Pédro15.1%
Draw / San-Pédro11.2%

Questions about San-Pédro vs SOA

Who will win San-Pédro vs SOA?

The model gives SOA the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 30%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

San-Pédro vs SOA correct score: what does the model say?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 14.9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 35%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in San-Pédro vs SOA?

The BTTS yes line is rated 41%. San-Pédro find the net in 59% of simulated matches and SOA in 70%.

When do San-Pédro play SOA?

Kick-off is 15:30 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, San-Pédro v SOASOA or draw, 72%
1.39fair