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Live 27 UTC
Ivory Coast Ligue 1 Round 5 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
AdiakeHomeLLLDW
2:1Half-time 2:1
BouakéAwayWLLL
263143
Adiake winDrawBouaké win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
1.96
0.82 : 1.14
Favourite
43%
Bouaké
Over 2.5 goals
31%
model chance
Both teams to score
38%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Adiake vs Bouaké betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Adiake vs Bouaké yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

74%

Our prediction

Bouaké or draw
LeanExpected goals 0.82 : 1.14
1.36fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
62% chance1.62fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
58% chance1.72fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
16% chance6.21fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Bouaké, full-time Bouaké
25% chance4.03fair
First halfFirst-half goal
59% chance1.71fair

Adiake vs Bouaké prediction

Our Adiake vs Bouaké prediction and pick

Adiake vs Bouaké prediction for the Ivory Coast Ligue 1 on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Bouaké marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 31% and Adiake at 26%.

Expected goals are 0.82 for Adiake and 1.14 for Bouaké, a total of 1.96, which puts over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams to score at 38%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

The pick for Adiake vs Bouaké is bouaké or draw, a 74% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.

Form check: Adiake have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 6 conceded, Bouaké 1 of 4 scoring 3 and conceding 7.

Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Adiake vs Bouaké

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 58%, over 2.5 at 31%, over 3.5 at 14%; under 2.5 is 69% and under 3.5 is 86%.

Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%.

BTTS yes stands at 38%. Adiake score in 56% of simulations against a 44% clean sheet for Bouaké; Bouaké score in 68% while Adiake shut them out 32% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 16.1%, then 0-0 at 14.1% and 1-1 at 13.2%.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bouaké, full-time Bouaké leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 59%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Adiake vs Bouaké

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Adiake vs Bouaké, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Adiake to win26%fair 3.80
Draw31%fair 3.26
Bouaké to win43%fair 2.33
Adiake, draw no bet38%fair 2.63
Bouaké, draw no bet62%fair 1.61

Double chance

Adiake or draw57%fair 1.75
Bouaké or draw74%fair 1.36
Adiake or Bouaké (no draw)69%fair 1.44

Goals

Over 0.5 goals86%fair 1.16
Over 1.5 goals58%fair 1.72
Over 2.5 goals31%fair 3.19
Over 3.5 goals14%fair 7.35
Over 4.5 goals5%fair 20.41
Under 1.5 goals42%fair 2.40
Under 2.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Under 3.5 goals86%fair 1.16

BTTS

Both teams to score38%fair 2.62
Not both teams to score62%fair 1.62

Halves

First-half goal59%fair 1.71
Over 1.5 first-half goals22%fair 4.52
Second-half goal66%fair 1.52

Team goals

Adiake to score56%fair 1.79
Bouaké to score68%fair 1.47
Adiake clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Bouaké clean sheet44%fair 2.27
Adiake to win to nil24%fair 4.13
Bouaké to win to nil40%fair 2.53

Odd or even

Odd number of goals49%fair 2.04
Even number of goals51%fair 1.96

Most likely scores

0-116.1%
0-014.1%
1-113.2%
1-011.6%
0-29.2%
1-27.5%

Half-time / full-time

Bouaké / Bouaké24.8%
Draw / Draw22%
Draw / Bouaké16.7%
Adiake / Adiake14.3%
Draw / Adiake10.9%

Questions about Adiake vs Bouaké

Who is favourite in Adiake vs Bouaké?

The model gives Bouaké the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Adiake vs Bouaké?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 16.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 31% backs the same picture with less variance.

Adiake vs Bouaké both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. Adiake find the net in 56% of simulated matches and Bouaké in 68%.

When do Adiake play Bouaké?

Adiake vs Bouaké starts at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Adiake v BouakéBouaké or draw, 74%
1.36fair