AdiakeHomeLLLDW
BouakéAwayWLLL
AdiakeHomeLLLDW
BouakéAwayWLLLNo bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Adiake vs Bouaké yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
Our prediction
Adiake vs Bouaké prediction for the Ivory Coast Ligue 1 on Saturday, 24 October 2026: the model makes Bouaké marginally ahead at 43%, with the draw at 31% and Adiake at 26%.
Expected goals are 0.82 for Adiake and 1.14 for Bouaké, a total of 1.96, which puts over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams to score at 38%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
The pick for Adiake vs Bouaké is bouaké or draw, a 74% chance. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
A 31% draw chance is high for this level and argues against backing either side to win outright.
Form check: Adiake have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 6 conceded, Bouaké 1 of 4 scoring 3 and conceding 7.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 58%, over 2.5 at 31%, over 3.5 at 14%; under 2.5 is 69% and under 3.5 is 86%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 69%.
BTTS yes stands at 38%. Adiake score in 56% of simulations against a 44% clean sheet for Bouaké; Bouaké score in 68% while Adiake shut them out 32% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 62%.
Correct score: 0-1 leads at 16.1%, then 0-0 at 14.1% and 1-1 at 13.2%.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Bouaké, full-time Bouaké leads at 25%. A goal before the break is rated 59%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Adiake vs Bouaké, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Bouaké the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 31%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 16.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 31% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 38%. Adiake find the net in 56% of simulated matches and Bouaké in 68%.
Adiake vs Bouaké starts at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.