Liga 2
Semen PadangHomeLLDWW
1:0Half-time 0:0
Sumsel UnitedAwayWWWDL572320
Semen Padang winDrawSumsel United win
Semen PadangHomeLLDWWSumsel UnitedAwayWWWDL- Kick-off Fri 30 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.93 1.90 : 1.03
- Favourite
- 57% Semen Padang
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 55% model chance
- Prices compared
- 4 in the odds table
Semen Padang vs Sumsel United odds comparison
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.22 | 1.65 | 2.06 | 1.68 | 2.02 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.47 | 3.92 | 5.77 | 1.61 | 2.13 | 1.69 | 2.01 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.86 | 1.63 | 2.20 | - | - | Bet |
 Melbet | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.86 | 1.63 | 2.20 | - | - | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Semen Padang to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United are 1.57 for Semen Padang at Betwinner, 4.20 for the draw at Betwinner and 5.77 for Sumsel United at 22Bet.
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 95.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.65 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.20 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.69 (22Bet) and no 2.02 (1xBet).
Prices move until kick-off, and the bookmaker page shows the current one; the marked cells are the best lines at the last refresh.
57%
Our prediction
Semen Padang to win
Double chanceSemen Padang or draw
80% chance1.14
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
56% chance1.65
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.69
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
79% chance1.27fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
10% chance9.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Semen Padang, full-time Semen Padang
37% chance2.72fair
Semen Padang vs Sumsel United prediction
Semen Padang vs Sumsel United prediction, who wins and at what price
Semen Padang host Sumsel United on Friday, 30 October 2026 in the Liga 2, and the model has Semen Padang at 57%, the draw at 23% and Sumsel United at 20%: that is the Semen Padang vs Sumsel United prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.93 in total, split 1.90 to Semen Padang and 1.03 to Sumsel United. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 55%.
One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.
The pick for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United is semen Padang to win, a 57% chance. At 1.57 with Betwinner the market prices it at 64%, against 57% from the model.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Semen Padang or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.14.
Form check: Semen Padang have won 2 of their last 5 with 5 scored and 5 conceded, Sumsel United 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 5.
How many goals in Semen Padang vs Sumsel United? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 44% and under 3.5 66%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 79% and over 2.5 at 56%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.65.
BTTS yes stands at 55%. Semen Padang score in 85% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Sumsel United; Sumsel United score in 64% while Semen Padang shut them out 36% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United: 1-1 (10.4%), 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 10.4% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Semen Padang, full-time Semen Padang is the top combination at 37%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
Every market rated for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Semen Padang vs Sumsel United, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Semen Padang to win57%1.57
Draw23%4.20
Sumsel United to win20%5.77
Semen Padang, draw no bet74%fair 1.35
Sumsel United, draw no bet26%fair 3.89
Double chance
Semen Padang or draw80%1.14
Sumsel United or draw43%2.33
Semen Padang or Sumsel United (no draw)77%1.19
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals79%fair 1.27
Over 2.5 goals56%1.65
Over 3.5 goals34%fair 2.97
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 5.78
Under 1.5 goals21%fair 4.76
Under 2.5 goals44%2.20
Under 3.5 goals66%fair 1.51
BTTS
Both teams to score55%1.69
Not both teams to score45%2.02
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.37
Over 1.5 first-half goals38%fair 2.63
Second-half goal80%fair 1.25
Team goals
Semen Padang to score85%fair 1.18
Sumsel United to score64%fair 1.56
Semen Padang clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Sumsel United clean sheet15%fair 6.67
Semen Padang to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Sumsel United to win to nil14%fair 7.25
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.4%
1-010.1%
2-19.9%
2-09.6%
3-16.3%
3-06.1%
Half-time / full-time
Semen Padang / Semen Padang36.7%
Draw / Semen Padang17.9%
Draw / Draw12.9%
Sumsel United / Sumsel United11.2%
Draw / Sumsel United7.6%
Questions about Semen Padang vs Sumsel United
Who will win Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
The model gives Semen Padang the best chance at 57%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What scoreline is most likely in Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.4%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 56%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Semen Padang vs Sumsel United?
The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Semen Padang find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Sumsel United in 64%.
When is Semen Padang vs Sumsel United and where is the result shown?
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.