PSMS MedanHomeWLDWW
PSIS SemarangAwayWLDLD
PSMS MedanHomeWLDWW
PSIS SemarangAwayWLDLD| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | 3.36 | 3.51 | 1.78 | 1.89 | 1.66 | 2.05 | Bet | |
| 1.94 | 3.48 | 3.58 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2.04 | Bet | |
| 1.94 | 3.48 | 3.58 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 2.04 | Bet | |
| 1.94 | 3.48 | 3.58 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2.04 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
The top 1X2 prices for PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang are 1.94 for PSMS Medan at 22Bet, 3.48 for the draw at 22Bet and 3.58 for PSIS Semarang at 22Bet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 92.5%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.91 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.89 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.67 (Melbet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
Our prediction
PSMS Medan host PSIS Semarang on Sunday, 25 October 2026 in the Liga 2, and the model has PSMS Medan at 51%, the draw at 25% and PSIS Semarang at 24%: that is the PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.81 in total, split 1.71 to PSMS Medan and 1.10 to PSIS Semarang. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 56%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang is pSMS Medan to win, a 51% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.94. That price implies 51%, 0 points over the model figure.
PSMS Medan or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 77% chance, priced 1.25.
PSMS Medan average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded across their last 5, PSIS Semarang 0.6 and 1.0 across 5.
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 77%, over 2.5 at 53%, over 3.5 at 31%; under 2.5 is 47% and under 3.5 is 69%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.91 at Melbet.
BTTS yes stands at 56%. PSMS Medan score in 82% of simulations against a 18% clean sheet for PSIS Semarang; PSIS Semarang score in 67% while PSMS Medan shut them out 33% of the time.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%, followed by 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.7%).
With the top scoreline at 11.3%, correct score stays a long-odds market for PSMS Medan vs PSIS Semarang; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time PSMS Medan, full-time PSMS Medan leads at 32%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
The grid built from 1.71 and 1.10 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives PSMS Medan the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 25%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.3%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. PSMS Medan find the net in 82% of simulated matches and PSIS Semarang in 67%.
Kick-off is 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.