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Indian Super League Round 4 Saturday, 31 October 2026 FT
ATK Mohun BaganHomeLWWW
2:1Half-time 2:1
Minerva PunjabAwayWDWL
612217
ATK Mohun Bagan winDrawMinerva Punjab win
Kick-off
Sat 31 Oct
Expected goals
3.05
2.03 : 1.02
Favourite
61%
ATK Mohun Bagan
Over 2.5 goals
58%
model chance
Both teams to score
56%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.573.924.691.592.171.632.12Bet
22Bet1.883.593.851.891.911.742.02Bet
BC.Game1.773.504.201.732.001.672.02Bet
Betwinner1.883.593.851.891.911.742.02Bet
Melbet1.883.593.851.891.911.742.02Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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ATK Mohun Bagan to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab are 1.88 for ATK Mohun Bagan at Melbet, 3.92 for the draw at 1xBet and 4.69 for Minerva Punjab at 1xBet.

The best-price payout across the three results is 100%, several points better than any single book offers here.

Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.89 (Melbet) and under 2.5 2.17 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.74 (Melbet) and no 2.12 (1xBet).

The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.

61%

Our prediction

ATK Mohun Bagan to win
StrongExpected goals 2.03 : 1.02+13.9% against the best price
Double chanceATK Mohun Bagan or draw
82% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.89
BTTSBoth teams to score
56% chance1.74
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
81% chance1.24fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
10% chance10.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time ATK Mohun Bagan, full-time ATK Mohun Bagan
39% chance2.55fair

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab prediction

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab prediction, who wins and at what price

The ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab prediction leans to ATK Mohun Bagan: 61% against 18% for Minerva Punjab, with 22% left for the draw, in the Indian Super League on Saturday, 31 October 2026.

Expected goals are 2.03 for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.02 for Minerva Punjab, a total of 3.05, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 56%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

ATK Mohun Bagan to win is the main selection, rated 61%. Melbet offer the top price at 1.88. That price implies 53%, 7 points under the model figure.

That gap is worth 13.9% on a flat stake, which makes the pick a value bet as well as a probable outcome.

For a safer line, aTK Mohun Bagan or draw covers 82% of outcomes at 1.23.

With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.

ATK Mohun Bagan average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 4, Minerva Punjab 1.8 and 1.5 across 4.

How many goals in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 64%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 81% and over 2.5 at 58%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.89 at Melbet.

Both teams to score is 56%: ATK Mohun Bagan find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Minerva Punjab in 64%. ATK Mohun Bagan keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Minerva Punjab 13%.

Correct score: 2-1 leads at 10%, then 1-1 at 9.8% and 2-0 at 9.8%.

Even the leading scoreline holds only 10% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time ATK Mohun Bagan, full-time ATK Mohun Bagan is the top combination at 39%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 75%.

All markets, ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

ATK Mohun Bagan to win61%1.88
Draw22%3.92
Minerva Punjab to win18%4.69
ATK Mohun Bagan, draw no bet77%fair 1.29
Minerva Punjab, draw no bet23%fair 4.41

Double chance

ATK Mohun Bagan or draw82%1.23
Minerva Punjab or draw40%2.14
ATK Mohun Bagan or Minerva Punjab (no draw)78%1.26

Goals

Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals81%fair 1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.89
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.75
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.21
Under 2.5 goals42%2.17
Under 3.5 goals64%fair 1.57

BTTS

Both teams to score56%1.74
Not both teams to score44%2.12

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.34
Over 1.5 first-half goals40%fair 2.51
Second-half goal81%fair 1.23

Team goals

ATK Mohun Bagan to score87%fair 1.15
Minerva Punjab to score64%fair 1.56
ATK Mohun Bagan clean sheet36%fair 2.77
Minerva Punjab clean sheet13%fair 7.63
ATK Mohun Bagan to win to nil33%fair 3.01
Minerva Punjab to win to nil12%fair 8.26

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-110%
1-19.8%
2-09.8%
1-09.6%
3-16.7%
3-06.6%

Half-time / full-time

ATK Mohun Bagan / ATK Mohun Bagan39.2%
Draw / ATK Mohun Bagan18.3%
Draw / Draw12%
Minerva Punjab / Minerva Punjab10.1%
Draw / Minerva Punjab6.9%

Questions about ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab

Who is favourite in ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab?

The model gives ATK Mohun Bagan the best chance at 61%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab correct score: what does the model say?

2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 58% backs the same picture with less variance.

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab both teams to score: yes or no?

The BTTS yes line is rated 56%. ATK Mohun Bagan find the net in 87% of simulated matches and Minerva Punjab in 64%.

When is ATK Mohun Bagan vs Minerva Punjab and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, ATK Mohun Bagan v Minerva PunjabATK Mohun Bagan to win, 61%
1.88Bet