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Live 19 UTC
Super League 1 Round 10 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
Asteras TripolisHomeWLDLL
Sun 8 Nov
KalamataAwayLWWLW
482626
Asteras Tripolis winDrawKalamata win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.64
1.56 : 1.08
Favourite
48%
Asteras Tripolis
Over 2.5 goals
49%
model chance
Both teams to score
53%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.993.463.601.971.781.791.92Bet
22Bet1.993.463.601.971.781.791.92Bet
BC.Game1.963.403.651.961.771.781.88Bet
Betwinner1.993.463.601.971.781.791.92Bet
Melbet1.993.463.601.971.781.791.92Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Asteras Tripolis to win partner prices

1xBet pay the best Asteras Tripolis price at 1.99, 1xBet lead the draw at 3.46 and BC.Game have Kalamata longest at 3.65.

Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 93.9%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 1.97 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.78 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.79 (1xBet) and no 1.92 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

74%

Our prediction

Asteras Tripolis or draw
LeanExpected goals 1.56 : 1.08-6.3% against the best price
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
51% chance1.78
BTTSBoth teams to score
53% chance1.79
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
74% chance1.35fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.33fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Asteras Tripolis, full-time Asteras Tripolis
29% chance3.40fair
First halfFirst-half goal
70% chance1.44fair

Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata prediction

Our Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata prediction and pick

The Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata prediction leans to Asteras Tripolis: 48% against 26% for Kalamata, with 26% left for the draw, in the Super League 1 on Sunday, 8 November 2026.

The goal expectancy is 2.64 in total, split 1.56 to Asteras Tripolis and 1.08 to Kalamata. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 49% and both teams to score 53%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata is asteras Tripolis or draw, a 74% chance. At 1.26 with Betwinner the market prices it at 79%, against 74% from the model.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata.

Form check: Asteras Tripolis have won 1 of their last 5 with 4 scored and 10 conceded, Kalamata 3 of 5 scoring 9 and conceding 10.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata

On the goal lines Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata reads 74% for over 1.5, 49% for over 2.5 and 27% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 51%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 51%, best priced 1.78 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 53%. Asteras Tripolis score in 79% of simulations against a 21% clean sheet for Kalamata; Kalamata score in 66% while Asteras Tripolis shut them out 34% of the time.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 12%, then 1-0 at 11.1% and 2-1 at 9.4%.

With the top scoreline at 12%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Asteras Tripolis, full-time Asteras Tripolis leads at 29%. A goal before the break is rated 70%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market rated for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

Asteras Tripolis to win48%1.99
Draw26%3.46
Kalamata to win26%3.65
Asteras Tripolis, draw no bet65%fair 1.53
Kalamata, draw no bet35%fair 2.89

Double chance

Asteras Tripolis or draw74%1.26
Kalamata or draw52%1.76
Asteras Tripolis or Kalamata (no draw)74%1.28

Goals

Over 0.5 goals93%fair 1.08
Over 1.5 goals74%fair 1.35
Over 2.5 goals49%1.97
Over 3.5 goals27%fair 3.66
Over 4.5 goals13%fair 7.81
Under 1.5 goals26%fair 3.85
Under 2.5 goals51%1.78
Under 3.5 goals73%fair 1.38

BTTS

Both teams to score53%1.79
Not both teams to score47%1.92

Halves

First-half goal70%fair 1.44
Over 1.5 first-half goals33%fair 3.00
Second-half goal77%fair 1.31

Team goals

Asteras Tripolis to score79%fair 1.27
Kalamata to score66%fair 1.52
Asteras Tripolis clean sheet34%fair 2.94
Kalamata clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Asteras Tripolis to win to nil31%fair 3.21
Kalamata to win to nil19%fair 5.18

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-112%
1-011.1%
2-19.4%
2-08.7%
0-17.7%
0-07.1%

Half-time / full-time

Asteras Tripolis / Asteras Tripolis29.4%
Draw / Asteras Tripolis16.4%
Draw / Draw15.4%
Kalamata / Kalamata14.8%
Draw / Kalamata9.9%

Questions about Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata

Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?

The model gives Asteras Tripolis the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata correct score: what does the model say?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 49% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata?

The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Asteras Tripolis find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Kalamata in 66%.

When is Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata and where is the result shown?

Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata starts at 15:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Asteras Tripolis v KalamataAsteras Tripolis or draw, 74%
1.26Bet