Ghana Premier League
Hearts of OakHomeDWWWL
1:0Half-time 0:0
Basake Holy StarsAwayWLWLL73207
Hearts of Oak winDrawBasake Holy Stars win
Hearts of OakHomeDWWWLBasake Holy StarsAwayWLWLL- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.37 1.91 : 0.46
- Favourite
- 73% Hearts of Oak
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 34% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
Best odds for Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.29 | 4.05 | 11.60 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 2.46 | 1.46 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Hearts of Oak to win partner prices
Best 1X2 lines behind the Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars prediction: Hearts of Oak 1.29 (1xBet), draw 4.05 (1xBet), Basake Holy Stars 11.60 (1xBet).
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 90.2%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.88 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.79 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.46 (1xBet) and no 1.46 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
73%
Our prediction
Hearts of Oak to win
Double chanceHearts of Oak or draw
93% chance-
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
59% chance1.79
BTTSNot both teams to score
67% chance1.46
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.46fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
18% chance5.59fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Hearts of Oak, full-time Hearts of Oak
48% chance2.11fair
Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars prediction
Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars prediction and best bet
The Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars prediction leans to Hearts of Oak: 73% against 7% for Basake Holy Stars, with 20% left for the draw, in the Ghana Premier League on Friday, 23 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 2.37 in total, split 1.91 to Hearts of Oak and 0.46 to Basake Holy Stars. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 41% and both teams to score 34%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Hearts of Oak to win is the main selection, rated 73%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.29. That price implies 78%, 4 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars.
For a safer line, hearts of Oak or draw covers 93% of outcomes at -.
With the draw down at 20%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Form check: Hearts of Oak have won 3 of their last 5 with 3 scored and 1 conceded, Basake Holy Stars 2 of 5 scoring 2 and conceding 4.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars
On the goal lines Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars reads 69% for over 1.5, 41% for over 2.5 and 22% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 59%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 59%, best priced 1.79 at 1xBet.
BTTS yes stands at 34%. Hearts of Oak score in 85% of simulations against a 15% clean sheet for Basake Holy Stars; Basake Holy Stars score in 37% while Hearts of Oak shut them out 63% of the time.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 67%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars: 1-0 (17.9%), 2-0 (17.1%) and 3-0 (10.9%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Hearts of Oak, full-time Hearts of Oak leads at 48%. A goal before the break is rated 66%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars
The grid built from 1.91 and 0.46 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Hearts of Oak to win73%1.29
Draw20%4.05
Basake Holy Stars to win7%11.60
Hearts of Oak, draw no bet91%fair 1.10
Basake Holy Stars, draw no bet9%fair 11.11
Double chance
Hearts of Oak or draw93%-
Basake Holy Stars or draw27%3.00
Hearts of Oak or Basake Holy Stars (no draw)80%1.16
Goals
Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.46
Over 2.5 goals41%1.88
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.65
Over 4.5 goals9%fair 10.87
Under 1.5 goals32%fair 3.17
Under 2.5 goals59%1.79
Under 3.5 goals79%fair 1.27
BTTS
Both teams to score34%2.46
Not both teams to score67%1.46
Halves
First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.46
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37
Team goals
Hearts of Oak to score85%fair 1.17
Basake Holy Stars to score37%fair 2.71
Hearts of Oak clean sheet63%fair 1.58
Basake Holy Stars clean sheet15%fair 6.76
Hearts of Oak to win to nil58%fair 1.72
Basake Holy Stars to win to nil7%fair 15.15
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-017.9%
2-017.1%
3-010.9%
0-09.3%
1-18.2%
2-17.8%
Half-time / full-time
Hearts of Oak / Hearts of Oak47.5%
Draw / Hearts of Oak23%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Basake Holy Stars / Basake Holy Stars4%
Draw / Basake Holy Stars3.6%
Questions about Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars
Hearts of Oak or Basake Holy Stars: which side does the model back?
The model gives Hearts of Oak the best chance at 73%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars correct score: what does the model say?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 17.9%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 41% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars?
The BTTS yes line is rated 34%. Hearts of Oak find the net in 85% of simulated matches and Basake Holy Stars in 37%.
When is Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars and where is the result shown?
Hearts of Oak vs Basake Holy Stars starts at 17:00 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.