3. Liga
FC Ingolstadt 04HomeLWWWD
Sat 7 Nov
Fortuna DüsseldorfAwayDWLDD352639
FC Ingolstadt 04 winDrawFortuna Düsseldorf win
FC Ingolstadt 04HomeLWWWDFortuna DüsseldorfAwayDWLDD- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.01 1.45 : 1.56
- Favourite
- 39% Fortuna Düsseldorf
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 61% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.57 | 3.42 | 2.29 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.46 | 2.50 | Bet |
 22Bet | 2.74 | 3.34 | 2.26 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.52 | 2.34 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.68 | 3.45 | 2.30 | 1.65 | 2.14 | 1.51 | 2.28 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.74 | 3.34 | 2.26 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.52 | 2.34 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.74 | 3.34 | 2.26 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.52 | 2.34 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Fortuna Düsseldorf to win partner prices
Betwinner pay the best FC Ingolstadt 04 price at 2.74, BC.Game lead the draw at 3.45 and BC.Game have Fortuna Düsseldorf longest at 2.30.
The best-price payout across the three results is 91.8%, several points better than any single book offers here.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.65 (BC.Game) and under 2.5 2.27 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.52 (Betwinner) and no 2.50 (1xBet).
The table lists every bookmaker line we hold for 1X2, over/under 2.5 and BTTS, with the best price in each column marked. Partner bookmakers carry a Bet button and open through a counted link; the others are shown for comparison only.
74%
Our prediction
FC Ingolstadt 04 or Fortuna Düsseldorf (no draw)
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.65
BTTSBoth teams to score
61% chance1.52
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.01fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Fortuna Düsseldorf, full-time Fortuna Düsseldorf
24% chance4.13fair
First halfFirst-half goal
74% chance1.35fair
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction, who wins and at what price
The FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. 3. Liga on Saturday, 7 November 2026 gives FC Ingolstadt 04 a 35% chance, Fortuna Düsseldorf 39% and the draw 26%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.
Expected goals are 1.45 for FC Ingolstadt 04 and 1.56 for Fortuna Düsseldorf, a total of 3.01, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is fC Ingolstadt 04 or Fortuna Düsseldorf (no draw) at 74%. The best price in our comparison is 1.24 at Betwinner, which implies 81%, so the model sits 7 points below the market.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Form check: FC Ingolstadt 04 have won 3 of their last 5 with 9 scored and 6 conceded, Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 7.
How many goals in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 80%, over 2.5 at 58%, over 3.5 at 36%; under 2.5 is 42% and under 3.5 is 65%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; BC.Game pay 1.65.
Both teams to score is 61%: FC Ingolstadt 04 find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Fortuna Düsseldorf in 79%. FC Ingolstadt 04 keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Fortuna Düsseldorf 24%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 61%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%, followed by 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Fortuna Düsseldorf, full-time Fortuna Düsseldorf leads at 24%. A goal before the break is rated 74%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
Every market rated for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
The grid built from 1.45 and 1.56 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
FC Ingolstadt 04 to win35%2.74
Draw26%3.45
Fortuna Düsseldorf to win39%2.30
FC Ingolstadt 04, draw no bet47%fair 2.13
Fortuna Düsseldorf, draw no bet53%fair 1.88
Double chance
FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw61%1.51
Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw65%1.38
FC Ingolstadt 04 or Fortuna Düsseldorf (no draw)74%1.24
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals58%1.65
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 2.5 goals42%2.27
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55
BTTS
Both teams to score61%1.52
Not both teams to score39%2.50
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.55
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
FC Ingolstadt 04 to score77%fair 1.31
Fortuna Düsseldorf to score79%fair 1.27
FC Ingolstadt 04 clean sheet21%fair 4.76
Fortuna Düsseldorf clean sheet24%fair 4.26
FC Ingolstadt 04 to win to nil19%fair 5.18
Fortuna Düsseldorf to win to nil22%fair 4.63
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%
0-17.7%
1-07.1%
2-26.3%
Half-time / full-time
Fortuna Düsseldorf / Fortuna Düsseldorf24.2%
FC Ingolstadt 04 / FC Ingolstadt 0420.9%
Draw / Draw13.5%
Draw / Fortuna Düsseldorf13.4%
Draw / FC Ingolstadt 0412.1%
Questions about FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
FC Ingolstadt 04 or Fortuna Düsseldorf: which side does the model back?
The model gives Fortuna Düsseldorf the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.1%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
The BTTS yes line is rated 61%. FC Ingolstadt 04 find the net in 77% of simulated matches and Fortuna Düsseldorf in 79%.
When is FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf and where is the result shown?
FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf starts at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.