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Live 30 UTC
Denmark 1. Division Round 14 Friday, 6 November 2026 Kick-off
HB KogeHomeWWLDL
Fri 6 Nov
AalborgAwayDDLLD
372538
HB Koge winDrawAalborg win
Kick-off
Fri 6 Nov
Expected goals
3.10
1.53 : 1.57
Favourite
39%
Aalborg
Over 2.5 goals
60%
model chance
Both teams to score
64%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Best odds for HB Koge vs Aalborg

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet2.533.622.411.582.271.482.47Bet
22Bet2.533.622.411.582.271.482.47Bet
BC.Game2.503.602.381.582.241.472.38Bet
Betwinner2.533.622.411.582.271.482.47Bet
Melbet2.533.622.411.582.271.482.47Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Aalborg to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for HB Koge vs Aalborg are 2.53 for HB Koge at 22Bet, 3.62 for the draw at 22Bet and 2.41 for Aalborg at 22Bet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.58 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.27 (Betwinner); both teams to score yes pays 1.48 (Betwinner) and no 2.47 (Betwinner).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

75%

Our prediction

HB Koge or Aalborg (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.53 : 1.57-7.3% against the best price
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
60% chance1.58
BTTSBoth teams to score
64% chance1.48
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
82% chance1.23fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.26fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Aalborg, full-time Aalborg
23% chance4.29fair
First halfFirst-half goal
75% chance1.33fair

HB Koge vs Aalborg prediction

HB Koge vs Aalborg prediction and best bet

The HB Koge vs Aalborg prediction is a coin flip by the numbers. Denmark 1. Division on Friday, 6 November 2026 gives HB Koge a 37% chance, Aalborg 39% and the draw 25%, so the value sits in covering two results rather than one.

HB Koge are expected to score 1.53 and Aalborg 1.57, so the total line is 3.10 goals; over 2.5 lands at 60% and BTTS at 64%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

The pick for HB Koge vs Aalborg is hB Koge or Aalborg (no draw), a 75% chance. The best price in our comparison is 1.23 at 1xBet, which implies 81%, so the model sits 6 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

HB Koge average 2.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded across their last 5, Aalborg 1.4 and 1.8 across 5.

HB Koge vs Aalborg goals, both teams to score and half-time forecast

Under 2.5 goals is rated 40% and under 3.5 63%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 82% and over 2.5 at 60%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 60%, best priced 1.58 at Betwinner.

The chance of both teams scoring is 64%, built from HB Koge scoring in 78% of runs and Aalborg in 79%; clean sheets come at 21% for HB Koge and 22% for Aalborg.

Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 64%.

Correct score: 1-1 leads at 10.8%, then 1-2 at 8.5% and 2-1 at 8.3%.

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Aalborg, full-time Aalborg leads at 23%. A goal before the break is rated 75%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for HB Koge vs Aalborg

The grid built from 1.53 and 1.57 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

HB Koge to win37%2.53
Draw25%3.62
Aalborg to win39%2.41
HB Koge, draw no bet49%fair 2.05
Aalborg, draw no bet51%fair 1.95

Double chance

HB Koge or draw61%1.49
Aalborg or draw63%1.45
HB Koge or Aalborg (no draw)75%1.23

Goals

Over 0.5 goals96%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals82%fair 1.23
Over 2.5 goals60%1.58
Over 3.5 goals38%fair 2.67
Over 4.5 goals20%fair 4.95
Under 1.5 goals19%fair 5.41
Under 2.5 goals40%2.27
Under 3.5 goals63%fair 1.60

BTTS

Both teams to score64%1.48
Not both teams to score36%2.47

Halves

First-half goal75%fair 1.33
Over 1.5 first-half goals41%fair 2.46
Second-half goal82%fair 1.22

Team goals

HB Koge to score78%fair 1.28
Aalborg to score79%fair 1.26
HB Koge clean sheet21%fair 4.81
Aalborg clean sheet22%fair 4.61
HB Koge to win to nil19%fair 5.24
Aalborg to win to nil20%fair 5.03

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%
0-17.1%
1-06.9%
2-26.5%

Half-time / full-time

Aalborg / Aalborg23.3%
HB Koge / HB Koge22.2%
Draw / Draw13%
Draw / Aalborg12.9%
Draw / HB Koge12.4%

Questions about HB Koge vs Aalborg

Who is favourite in HB Koge vs Aalborg?

The model gives Aalborg the best chance at 39%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.

What scoreline is most likely in HB Koge vs Aalborg?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.8%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 60%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in HB Koge vs Aalborg?

The BTTS yes line is rated 64%. HB Koge find the net in 78% of simulated matches and Aalborg in 79%.

When is HB Koge vs Aalborg and where is the result shown?

HB Koge vs Aalborg starts at 18:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, HB Koge v AalborgHB Koge or Aalborg (no draw), 75%
1.23Bet