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Live 23 UTC
Denmark 1. Division Round 13 Friday, 30 October 2026 FT
AalborgHomeDDLLD
1:1Half-time 1:1
HobroAwayLDLDD
552421
Aalborg winDrawHobro win
Kick-off
Fri 30 Oct
Expected goals
2.82
1.79 : 1.03
Favourite
55%
Aalborg
Over 2.5 goals
53%
model chance
Both teams to score
55%
model chance
Prices compared
5
in the odds table

Aalborg vs Hobro odds comparison

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet1.693.844.441.722.031.692.05Bet
22Bet1.603.805.501.812.001.821.93Bet
BC.Game1.573.855.201.712.041.731.94Bet
Betwinner1.603.805.501.812.001.821.93Bet
Melbet1.603.805.501.812.001.821.93Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Aalborg to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for Aalborg vs Hobro are 1.69 for Aalborg at 1xBet, 3.85 for the draw at BC.Game and 5.50 for Hobro at Melbet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 96.8%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.81 (Betwinner) and under 2.5 2.04 (BC.Game); both teams to score yes pays 1.82 (Melbet) and no 2.05 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

55%

Our prediction

Aalborg to win
StrongExpected goals 1.79 : 1.03-6.9% against the best price
Double chanceAalborg or draw
79% chance1.17
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
53% chance1.81
BTTSBoth teams to score
55% chance1.82
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
77% chance1.30fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.09fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Aalborg, full-time Aalborg
35% chance2.89fair

Aalborg vs Hobro prediction

Our Aalborg vs Hobro prediction and pick

Aalborg host Hobro on Friday, 30 October 2026 in the Denmark 1. Division, and the model has Aalborg at 55%, the draw at 24% and Hobro at 21%: that is the Aalborg vs Hobro prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.82 in total, split 1.79 to Aalborg and 1.03 to Hobro. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 53% and both teams to score 55%.

One score grid produces every chance here: the 1X2 split, the goal lines, BTTS and the scorelines all come from the same pair of expected goals.

Aalborg to win is the main selection, rated 55%. The best price in our comparison is 1.69 at 1xBet, which implies 59%, so the model sits 4 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

Aalborg or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance, priced 1.17.

Form check: Aalborg have won 0 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 9 conceded, Hobro 0 of 5 scoring 6 and conceding 12.

Goals, BTTS and correct score for Aalborg vs Hobro

On the goal lines Aalborg vs Hobro reads 77% for over 1.5, 53% for over 2.5 and 31% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 47%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 53%, best priced 1.81 at Betwinner.

Both teams to score is 55%: Aalborg find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Hobro in 64%. Aalborg keep a clean sheet 36% of the time and Hobro 17%.

The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, followed by 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.8%).

With the top scoreline at 11%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Aalborg vs Hobro; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Aalborg, full-time Aalborg leads at 35%. A goal before the break is rated 72%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

All markets, Aalborg vs Hobro

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 55% / 24% / 21% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Aalborg to win55%1.69
Draw24%3.85
Hobro to win21%5.50
Aalborg, draw no bet72%fair 1.39
Hobro, draw no bet28%fair 3.58

Double chance

Aalborg or draw79%1.17
Hobro or draw45%2.25
Aalborg or Hobro (no draw)76%1.24

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals77%fair 1.30
Over 2.5 goals53%1.81
Over 3.5 goals31%fair 3.21
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.45
Under 1.5 goals23%fair 4.39
Under 2.5 goals47%2.04
Under 3.5 goals69%fair 1.45

BTTS

Both teams to score55%1.82
Not both teams to score45%2.05

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals36%fair 2.76
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

Aalborg to score83%fair 1.20
Hobro to score64%fair 1.56
Aalborg clean sheet36%fair 2.80
Hobro clean sheet17%fair 5.99
Aalborg to win to nil33%fair 3.05
Hobro to win to nil15%fair 6.49

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111%
1-010.7%
2-19.8%
2-09.5%
0-16.1%
0-06%

Half-time / full-time

Aalborg / Aalborg34.6%
Draw / Aalborg17.7%
Draw / Draw13.8%
Hobro / Hobro12%
Draw / Hobro8.2%

Questions about Aalborg vs Hobro

Aalborg or Hobro: which side does the model back?

The model gives Aalborg the best chance at 55%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What is the correct score prediction for Aalborg vs Hobro?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 53%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Is BTTS likely in Aalborg vs Hobro?

The BTTS yes line is rated 55%. Aalborg find the net in 83% of simulated matches and Hobro in 64%.

What time does Aalborg vs Hobro kick off?

Kick-off is 18:00 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, Aalborg v HobroAalborg to win, 55%
1.69Bet