Skip to the predictions
Live 29 UTC
Bangladesh Premier League Round 5 Saturday, 24 October 2026 FT
Mohammedan DhakaHomeWWWW
4:0Half-time 1:0
Dhaka WanderersAwayLLLL
761410
Mohammedan Dhaka winDrawDhaka Wanderers win
Kick-off
Sat 24 Oct
Expected goals
3.83
2.88 : 0.95
Favourite
76%
Mohammedan Dhaka
Over 2.5 goals
72%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

Bookmakers have not opened Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.

76%

Our prediction

Mohammedan Dhaka to win
BankerExpected goals 2.88 : 0.95
1.31fair
Double chanceMohammedan Dhaka or draw
90% chance1.11fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
72% chance1.38fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.75fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.12fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-0
9% chance11.11fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Mohammedan Dhaka, full-time Mohammedan Dhaka
54% chance1.84fair

Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers prediction

Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers prediction, who wins and at what price

Mohammedan Dhaka are the clear favourite in the Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers prediction, rated 76% to win this Bangladesh Premier League match on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Dhaka Wanderers sit at 10% and the draw at 14%.

Expected goals are 2.88 for Mohammedan Dhaka and 0.95 for Dhaka Wanderers, a total of 3.83, which puts over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

Our main pick is mohammedan Dhaka to win at 76%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

For a safer line, mohammedan Dhaka or draw covers 90% of outcomes.

The draw sits at only 14%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Form check: Mohammedan Dhaka have won 4 of their last 4 with 13 scored and 0 conceded, Dhaka Wanderers 0 of 4 scoring 2 and conceding 18.

Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 28% and under 3.5 47%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 89% and over 2.5 at 72%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 72%.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. Mohammedan Dhaka score in 94% of simulations against a 6% clean sheet for Dhaka Wanderers; Dhaka Wanderers score in 61% while Mohammedan Dhaka shut them out 39% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers: 2-0 (9%), 3-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.6%).

With the top scoreline at 9%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Mohammedan Dhaka, full-time Mohammedan Dhaka leads at 54%. A goal before the break is rated 82%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.

Every market for Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers

Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 76% / 14% / 10% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.

Match result

Mohammedan Dhaka to win76%fair 1.31
Draw14%fair 7.14
Dhaka Wanderers to win10%fair 10.31
Mohammedan Dhaka, draw no bet89%fair 1.13
Dhaka Wanderers, draw no bet11%fair 8.85

Double chance

Mohammedan Dhaka or draw90%fair 1.11
Dhaka Wanderers or draw24%fair 4.22
Mohammedan Dhaka or Dhaka Wanderers (no draw)86%fair 1.16

Goals

Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%fair 1.38
Over 3.5 goals53%fair 1.88
Over 4.5 goals34%fair 2.97
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 9.43
Under 2.5 goals28%fair 3.62
Under 3.5 goals47%fair 2.14

BTTS

Both teams to score57%fair 1.75
Not both teams to score43%fair 2.34

Halves

First-half goal82%fair 1.22
Over 1.5 first-half goals51%fair 1.95
Second-half goal88%fair 1.14

Team goals

Mohammedan Dhaka to score94%fair 1.06
Dhaka Wanderers to score61%fair 1.63
Mohammedan Dhaka clean sheet39%fair 2.58
Dhaka Wanderers clean sheet6%fair 17.86
Mohammedan Dhaka to win to nil36%fair 2.81
Dhaka Wanderers to win to nil5%fair 19.23

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00

Most likely scores

2-09%
3-08.6%
2-18.6%
3-18.2%
1-06.3%
4-06.2%

Half-time / full-time

Mohammedan Dhaka / Mohammedan Dhaka54.4%
Draw / Mohammedan Dhaka18.5%
Draw / Draw7.2%
Dhaka Wanderers / Dhaka Wanderers5.1%
Dhaka Wanderers / Mohammedan Dhaka3.8%

Questions about Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers

Who will win Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers?

The model gives Mohammedan Dhaka the best chance at 76%, with the draw at 14%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers correct score: what does the model say?

2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 9%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 72%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. Mohammedan Dhaka find the net in 94% of simulated matches and Dhaka Wanderers in 61%.

When do Mohammedan Dhaka play Dhaka Wanderers?

Mohammedan Dhaka vs Dhaka Wanderers starts at 08:45 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Mohammedan Dhaka v Dhaka WanderersMohammedan Dhaka to win, 76%
1.31fair