- Kick-off Fri 23 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.26 1.16 : 2.10
- Favourite
- 59% SKN ST. Polten
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 60% model chance
- Prices compared
- 1 in the odds table
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.05 | 4.40 | 1.53 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.53 | 2.34 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten prediction: SV Kapfenberg 5.05 (1xBet), draw 4.40 (1xBet), SKN ST. Polten 1.53 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 92.7%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 1.42 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.49 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.53 (1xBet) and no 2.34 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten prediction
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten prediction and best bet
The SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten prediction leans to SKN ST. Polten: 59% against 21% for SV Kapfenberg, with 20% left for the draw, in the 2. Liga on Friday, 23 October 2026.
The goal expectancy is 3.26 in total, split 1.16 to SV Kapfenberg and 2.10 to SKN ST. Polten. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 63% and both teams to score 60%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
SKN ST. Polten to win is the main selection, rated 59%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.53. That price implies 65%, 6 points over the model figure.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten.
SV Kapfenberg or SKN ST. Polten (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 80% chance, priced 1.17.
The draw sits at only 20%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.
Over the last 5 matches SV Kapfenberg stand at 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; SKN ST. Polten show 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats in 5.
Goals forecast for SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten with over 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
Under 2.5 goals is rated 37% and under 3.5 59%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 84% and over 2.5 at 63%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 63%; 1xBet pay 1.42.
Both teams to score is 60%: SV Kapfenberg find the net in 69% of simulated matches and SKN ST. Polten in 88%. SV Kapfenberg keep a clean sheet 12% of the time and SKN ST. Polten 31%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 60%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9.8%, followed by 1-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.5%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time SKN ST. Polten, full-time SKN ST. Polten leads at 38%. A goal before the break is rated 77%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
Questions about SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten
Who will win SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten?
The model gives SKN ST. Polten the best chance at 59%, with the draw at 20%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten correct score: what does the model say?
1-2 is the most likely scoreline at 9.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 63% backs the same picture with less variance.
Is BTTS likely in SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten?
The BTTS yes line is rated 60%. SV Kapfenberg find the net in 69% of simulated matches and SKN ST. Polten in 88%.
What time does SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten kick off?
Kick-off is 16:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.