AFC Champions League Two
Adelaide UnitedHomeWLLL
0:2Half-time 0:0
Home UnitedAwayWWWWW522325
Adelaide United winDrawHome United win
Adelaide UnitedHomeWLLLHome UnitedAwayWWWWW- Kick-off Thu 29 Oct
- Expected goals
- 3.01 1.82 : 1.19
- Favourite
- 52% Adelaide United
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- 2 in the odds table
Adelaide United vs Home United betting odds by bookmaker
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.82 | 3.97 | 1.63 | 2.16 | 1.59 | 2.19 | Bet |
 22Bet | 1.91 | 3.91 | 3.44 | 1.54 | 2.39 | 1.57 | 2.33 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Adelaide United to win partner prices
22Bet pay the best Adelaide United price at 1.91, 22Bet lead the draw at 3.91 and 1xBet have Home United longest at 3.97.
Shopping the three best prices lifts the payout to 97%; one bookmaker on its own returns roughly 94 to 96% on a match like this.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.63 (1xBet) and under 2.5 2.39 (22Bet); both teams to score yes pays 1.59 (1xBet) and no 2.33 (22Bet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
52%
Our prediction
Adelaide United to win
Double chanceAdelaide United or Home United (no draw)
78% chance1.23
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
58% chance1.63
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.59
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
80% chance1.25fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
11% chance9.35fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Adelaide United, full-time Adelaide United
33% chance3.07fair
Adelaide United vs Home United prediction
Our Adelaide United vs Home United prediction and pick
Adelaide United are a narrow favourite in the Adelaide United vs Home United prediction, rated 52% to win this AFC Champions League Two match on Thursday, 29 October 2026. Home United sit at 25% and the draw at 23%.
Expected goals are 1.82 for Adelaide United and 1.19 for Home United, a total of 3.01, which puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 58%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Adelaide United vs Home United is adelaide United to win, a 52% chance. 22Bet offer the top price at 1.91. That price implies 52%, 0 points under the model figure.
Adelaide United or Home United (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 78% chance, priced 1.23.
Over the last 4 matches Adelaide United stand at 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Home United show 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 5.
How many goals in Adelaide United vs Home United? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
Under 2.5 goals is rated 42% and under 3.5 65%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 80% and over 2.5 at 58%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 58%; 1xBet pay 1.63.
Both teams to score is 58%: Adelaide United find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Home United in 70%. Adelaide United keep a clean sheet 30% of the time and Home United 16%.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.7%, followed by 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9%).
With the top scoreline at 10.7%, correct score stays a long-odds market for Adelaide United vs Home United; the goal lines above back the same view with steadier returns.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Adelaide United, full-time Adelaide United is the top combination at 33%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 74%.
Every market for Adelaide United vs Home United
Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for Adelaide United vs Home United, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.
Match result
Adelaide United to win52%1.91
Draw23%3.91
Home United to win25%3.97
Adelaide United, draw no bet68%fair 1.48
Home United, draw no bet32%fair 3.09
Double chance
Adelaide United or draw75%1.28
Home United or draw48%1.95
Adelaide United or Home United (no draw)78%1.23
Goals
Over 0.5 goals95%fair 1.05
Over 1.5 goals80%fair 1.25
Over 2.5 goals58%1.63
Over 3.5 goals36%fair 2.82
Over 4.5 goals19%fair 5.38
Under 1.5 goals20%fair 5.05
Under 2.5 goals42%2.39
Under 3.5 goals65%fair 1.55
BTTS
Both teams to score58%1.59
Not both teams to score42%2.33
Halves
First-half goal74%fair 1.35
Over 1.5 first-half goals39%fair 2.55
Second-half goal81%fair 1.24
Team goals
Adelaide United to score84%fair 1.19
Home United to score70%fair 1.44
Adelaide United clean sheet30%fair 3.29
Home United clean sheet16%fair 6.17
Adelaide United to win to nil28%fair 3.57
Home United to win to nil15%fair 6.71
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
1-110.7%
2-19.7%
1-09%
2-08.2%
1-26.4%
3-15.9%
Half-time / full-time
Adelaide United / Adelaide United32.6%
Draw / Adelaide United16.5%
Home United / Home United14.1%
Draw / Draw13%
Draw / Home United9%
Questions about Adelaide United vs Home United
Who is favourite in Adelaide United vs Home United?
The model gives Adelaide United the best chance at 52%, with the draw at 23%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Adelaide United vs Home United?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 58%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Adelaide United vs Home United both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Adelaide United find the net in 84% of simulated matches and Home United in 70%.
When do Adelaide United play Home United?
Kick-off is 07:45 UTC on Thursday, 29 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.