Liga Profesional
Clausura - 15 Monday, 2 November 2026
Kick-off
Defensa Y JusticiaHomeDWWLW
Mon 2 Nov
IndependienteAwayWLDDL442927
Defensa Y Justicia winDrawIndependiente win
Liga Profesional
Clausura - 15 Monday, 2 November 2026
Kick-off
Defensa Y JusticiaHomeDWWLWIndependienteAwayWLDDL- Kick-off Mon 2 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.47 1.41 : 1.06
- Favourite
- 44% Defensa Y Justicia
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 51% model chance
- Prices compared
- 5 in the odds table
Best odds for Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.31 | 3.41 | 2.14 | 1.71 | 1.84 | 1.86 | Bet |
 BC.Game | 2.16 | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.08 | 1.68 | 1.83 | 1.87 | Bet |
 Betwinner | 2.19 | 3.31 | 3.41 | 2.14 | 1.71 | 1.84 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Melbet | 2.19 | 3.31 | 3.41 | 2.14 | 1.71 | 1.84 | 1.86 | Bet |
 Stake | 2.19 | 3.20 | 3.35 | 2.10 | 1.69 | 1.86 | 1.87 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Defensa Y Justicia to win partner prices
The top 1X2 prices for Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente are 2.19 for Defensa Y Justicia at 1xBet, 3.31 for the draw at 1xBet and 3.41 for Independiente at 1xBet.
The best-price payout across the three results is 95.1%, several points better than any single book offers here.
For the goals, over 2.5 pays 2.14 (Melbet) and under 2.5 1.71 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.86 (Stake) and no 1.87 (Stake).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
73%
Our prediction
Defensa Y Justicia or draw
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
56% chance1.71
BTTSBoth teams to score
51% chance1.86
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.42fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance7.94fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Defensa Y Justicia, full-time Defensa Y Justicia
27% chance3.73fair
First halfFirst-half goal
67% chance1.49fair
Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente odds movement
Defensa Y Justicia win2.19-0.06
Draw3.31unchanged
Independiente win3.41-0.19
Over 2.5 goals2.14-0.11
Under 2.5 goals1.71unchanged
Best price in the comparison at each refresh since the match was first priced on 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC. A shortening price means money has come for that outcome.
Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente prediction
Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente prediction and best bet
Defensa Y Justicia are marginally ahead in the Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente prediction, rated 44% to win this Liga Profesional match on Monday, 2 November 2026. Independiente sit at 27% and the draw at 29%.
Expected goals are 1.41 for Defensa Y Justicia and 1.06 for Independiente, a total of 2.47, which puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 51%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is defensa Y Justicia or draw at 73%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.32. That price implies 76%, 3 points over the model figure.
The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.
Defensa Y Justicia average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last 5, Independiente 0.8 and 1.4 across 5.
A low-scoring Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline
On the goal lines Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente reads 71% for over 1.5, 45% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 56%.
Under 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 56%; 1xBet pay 1.71.
Both teams to score is 51%: Defensa Y Justicia find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Independiente in 65%. Defensa Y Justicia keep a clean sheet 35% of the time and Independiente 24%.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.6%, followed by 1-0 (11.9%) and 0-1 (9%).
A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Defensa Y Justicia, full-time Defensa Y Justicia leads at 27%. A goal before the break is rated 67%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente
The grid built from 1.41 and 1.06 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Defensa Y Justicia to win44%2.19
Draw29%3.31
Independiente to win27%3.41
Defensa Y Justicia, draw no bet62%fair 1.62
Independiente, draw no bet38%fair 2.62
Double chance
Defensa Y Justicia or draw73%1.32
Independiente or draw56%1.68
Defensa Y Justicia or Independiente (no draw)71%1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.42
Over 2.5 goals45%2.14
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.24
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.52
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.40
Under 2.5 goals56%1.71
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.31
BTTS
Both teams to score51%1.86
Not both teams to score50%1.87
Halves
First-half goal67%fair 1.49
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.28
Second-half goal74%fair 1.35
Team goals
Defensa Y Justicia to score76%fair 1.32
Independiente to score65%fair 1.53
Defensa Y Justicia clean sheet35%fair 2.89
Independiente clean sheet24%fair 4.10
Defensa Y Justicia to win to nil32%fair 3.13
Independiente to win to nil23%fair 4.44
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-112.6%
1-011.9%
0-19%
2-18.9%
0-08.5%
2-08.4%
Half-time / full-time
Defensa Y Justicia / Defensa Y Justicia26.8%
Draw / Draw16.9%
Draw / Defensa Y Justicia15.9%
Independiente / Independiente15.9%
Draw / Independiente10.8%
Questions about Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente
Who is favourite in Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
The model gives Defensa Y Justicia the best chance at 44%, with the draw at 29%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 45%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 51%. Defensa Y Justicia find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Independiente in 65%.
When do Defensa Y Justicia play Independiente?
Kick-off is 22:00 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.