Algeria Ligue 2
Usm El HarrachHomeLWLDL
0:0Half-time 0:0
El BayadhAwayDLLDD682210
Usm El Harrach winDrawEl Bayadh win
Usm El HarrachHomeLWLDLEl BayadhAwayDLLDD- Kick-off Sat 24 Oct
- Expected goals
- 2.26 1.76 : 0.50
- Favourite
- 68% Usm El Harrach
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 32% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
68%
Our prediction
Usm El Harrach to win
1.46fair
Double chanceUsm El Harrach or draw
90% chance1.11fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
61% chance1.65fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
68% chance1.48fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
66% chance1.52fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-0
18% chance5.43fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Usm El Harrach, full-time Usm El Harrach
44% chance2.28fair
Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh prediction
Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh prediction, who wins and at what price
The Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh prediction leans to Usm El Harrach: 68% against 10% for El Bayadh, with 22% left for the draw, in the Algeria Ligue 2 on Saturday, 24 October 2026.
Expected goals are 1.76 for Usm El Harrach and 0.50 for El Bayadh, a total of 2.26, which puts over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams to score at 32%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Our main pick is usm El Harrach to win at 68%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
Usm El Harrach or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 90% chance.
With the draw down at 22%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Usm El Harrach average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last 5, El Bayadh 0.4 and 1.2 across 5.
Under 2.5, both teams to score and the scoreline in Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh
On the goal lines Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh reads 66% for over 1.5, 39% for over 2.5 and 19% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 61%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 61%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 32%, built from Usm El Harrach scoring in 83% of runs and El Bayadh in 39%; clean sheets come at 61% for Usm El Harrach and 17% for El Bayadh.
Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 68%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh: 1-0 (18.4%), 2-0 (16.2%) and 0-0 (10.4%).
In the half-time / full-time market half-time Usm El Harrach, full-time Usm El Harrach leads at 44%. A goal before the break is rated 64%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.
All markets, Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 68% / 22% / 10% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Usm El Harrach to win68%fair 1.46
Draw22%fair 4.59
El Bayadh to win10%fair 10.20
Usm El Harrach, draw no bet88%fair 1.14
El Bayadh, draw no bet13%fair 8.00
Double chance
Usm El Harrach or draw90%fair 1.11
El Bayadh or draw32%fair 3.16
Usm El Harrach or El Bayadh (no draw)78%fair 1.28
Goals
Over 0.5 goals90%fair 1.12
Over 1.5 goals66%fair 1.52
Over 2.5 goals39%fair 2.54
Over 3.5 goals19%fair 5.18
Over 4.5 goals8%fair 12.66
Under 1.5 goals34%fair 2.94
Under 2.5 goals61%fair 1.65
Under 3.5 goals81%fair 1.24
BTTS
Both teams to score32%fair 3.09
Not both teams to score68%fair 1.48
Halves
First-half goal64%fair 1.57
Over 1.5 first-half goals27%fair 3.70
Second-half goal71%fair 1.41
Team goals
Usm El Harrach to score83%fair 1.21
El Bayadh to score39%fair 2.54
Usm El Harrach clean sheet61%fair 1.65
El Bayadh clean sheet17%fair 5.81
Usm El Harrach to win to nil56%fair 1.79
El Bayadh to win to nil9%fair 11.11
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals51%fair 1.98
Most likely scores
1-018.4%
2-016.2%
0-010.4%
3-09.5%
1-19.2%
2-18.1%
Half-time / full-time
Usm El Harrach / Usm El Harrach43.8%
Draw / Usm El Harrach22.6%
Draw / Draw15.9%
El Bayadh / El Bayadh5.1%
Draw / El Bayadh4.4%
Questions about Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh
Usm El Harrach or El Bayadh: which side does the model back?
The model gives Usm El Harrach the best chance at 68%, with the draw at 22%. A chance above 50% means the win is more likely than the other two results combined.
What is the correct score prediction for Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh?
1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 18.4%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 39% backs the same picture with less variance.
Will both teams score in Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh?
The BTTS yes line is rated 32%. Usm El Harrach find the net in 83% of simulated matches and El Bayadh in 39%.
When do Usm El Harrach play El Bayadh?
Usm El Harrach vs El Bayadh starts at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.