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Live 11 UTC
CAF Champions League 2nd Preliminary Round Saturday, 17 October 2026 FT
African StarsHomeLL
0:1Half-time 0:0
Orlando PiratesAwayWWWWW
142462
African Stars winDrawOrlando Pirates win
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct
Expected goals
2.39
0.68 : 1.71
Favourite
62%
Orlando Pirates
Over 2.5 goals
42%
model chance
Both teams to score
42%
model chance
Prices compared
1
in the odds table

Best odds for African Stars vs Orlando Pirates

Bookmaker1X2Over 2.5Under 2.5BTTS yesBTTS no
1xBet5.743.561.532.121.622.131.61Bet

Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.

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Orlando Pirates to win partner prices

The top 1X2 prices for African Stars vs Orlando Pirates are 5.74 for African Stars at 1xBet, 3.56 for the draw at 1xBet and 1.53 for Orlando Pirates at 1xBet.

Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.2%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.

On the goal markets, over 2.5 pays 2.12 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.62 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 2.13 (1xBet) and no 1.61 (1xBet).

Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.

62%

Our prediction

Orlando Pirates to win
BankerExpected goals 0.68 : 1.71-5% against the best price
Double chanceOrlando Pirates or draw
86% chance1.07
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
58% chance1.62
BTTSNot both teams to score
58% chance1.61
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
69% chance1.45fair
ScorelineCorrect score 0-1
16% chance6.37fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Orlando Pirates, full-time Orlando Pirates
39% chance2.54fair

African Stars v Orlando Pirates head to head

0African Stars wins
0Draws
1Orlando Pirates wins
  • 23 Oct 26Orlando Pirates4:0African Stars

1 meeting since coverage began, 4 goals in total: African Stars scored 0, Orlando Pirates scored 4.

African Stars vs Orlando Pirates prediction

African Stars vs Orlando Pirates prediction, who wins and at what price

African Stars host Orlando Pirates on Saturday, 17 October 2026 in the CAF Champions League, and the model has Orlando Pirates at 62%, the draw at 24% and African Stars at 14%: that is the African Stars vs Orlando Pirates prediction in one line.

The goal expectancy is 2.39 in total, split 0.68 to African Stars and 1.71 to Orlando Pirates. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 42%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is orlando Pirates to win at 62%. The best price in our comparison is 1.53 at 1xBet, which implies 65%, so the model sits 3 points below the market.

The price is shorter than the chance deserves, so treat it as a likely result rather than a value bet; the double chance and goal markets pay better for the same view of the match.

For a safer line, orlando Pirates or draw covers 86% of outcomes at 1.07.

A low-scoring African Stars vs Orlando Pirates? Under 2.5, BTTS and scoreline

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 69%, over 2.5 at 42%, over 3.5 at 22%; under 2.5 is 58% and under 3.5 is 78%.

The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 58%, best priced 1.62 at 1xBet.

BTTS yes stands at 42%. African Stars score in 49% of simulations against a 51% clean sheet for Orlando Pirates; Orlando Pirates score in 82% while African Stars shut them out 18% of the time.

Not both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 58%.

Correct score: 0-1 leads at 15.7%, then 0-2 at 13.4% and 1-1 at 10.7%.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Orlando Pirates, full-time Orlando Pirates is the top combination at 39%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 66%.

Every market for African Stars vs Orlando Pirates

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for African Stars vs Orlando Pirates, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

African Stars to win14%5.74
Draw24%3.56
Orlando Pirates to win62%1.53
African Stars, draw no bet19%fair 5.41
Orlando Pirates, draw no bet82%fair 1.23

Double chance

African Stars or draw38%2.20
Orlando Pirates or draw86%1.07
African Stars or Orlando Pirates (no draw)76%1.21

Goals

Over 0.5 goals91%fair 1.10
Over 1.5 goals69%fair 1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.12
Over 3.5 goals22%fair 4.57
Over 4.5 goals10%fair 10.53
Under 1.5 goals31%fair 3.22
Under 2.5 goals58%1.62
Under 3.5 goals78%fair 1.28

BTTS

Both teams to score42%2.13
Not both teams to score58%1.61

Halves

First-half goal66%fair 1.52
Over 1.5 first-half goals29%fair 3.42
Second-half goal73%fair 1.37

Team goals

African Stars to score49%fair 2.03
Orlando Pirates to score82%fair 1.22
African Stars clean sheet18%fair 5.52
Orlando Pirates clean sheet51%fair 1.97
African Stars to win to nil13%fair 7.69
Orlando Pirates to win to nil47%fair 2.15

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.02
Even number of goals50%fair 1.98

Most likely scores

0-115.7%
0-213.4%
1-110.7%
0-09.2%
1-29.1%
0-37.6%

Half-time / full-time

Orlando Pirates / Orlando Pirates39.3%
Draw / Orlando Pirates20.7%
Draw / Draw15.8%
African Stars / African Stars7.6%
Draw / African Stars6.1%

Questions about African Stars vs Orlando Pirates

African Stars or Orlando Pirates: which side does the model back?

The model gives Orlando Pirates the best chance at 62%, with the draw at 24%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.

What scoreline is most likely in African Stars vs Orlando Pirates?

0-1 is the most likely scoreline at 15.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 42%) are the steadier way to back the same view.

Will both teams score in African Stars vs Orlando Pirates?

The BTTS yes line is rated 42%. African Stars find the net in 49% of simulated matches and Orlando Pirates in 82%.

When is African Stars vs Orlando Pirates and where is the result shown?

Kick-off is 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.

Our pick, African Stars v Orlando PiratesOrlando Pirates to win, 62%
1.53Bet