Paju CitizenHomeWDLDW
Asan MugunghwaAwayWDDWW
Paju CitizenHomeWDLDW
Asan MugunghwaAwayWDDWW| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | BTTS yes | BTTS no | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.56 | 3.44 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.73 | 1.98 | Bet |
Best price in each column is marked. Lines move; the bookmaker page shows the current one.
Best 1X2 lines behind the Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa prediction: Paju Citizen 3.56 (1xBet), draw 3.44 (1xBet), Asan Mugunghwa 1.87 (1xBet).
Taking the best price on each outcome gives a payout of 90.4%, against the 94 to 96% a single bookmaker pays on this kind of match.
Goal market prices: over 2.5 pays 1.85 (1xBet) and under 2.5 1.82 (1xBet); both teams to score yes pays 1.73 (1xBet) and no 1.98 (1xBet).
Each row of the table is one bookmaker and the green cell is the top price in that column. A Bet button means a partner link that we count; rows without one are there for comparison.
Our prediction
Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa prediction for the K League 2 on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model makes Asan Mugunghwa marginally ahead at 48%, with the draw at 26% and Paju Citizen at 26%.
Paju Citizen are expected to score 1.07 and Asan Mugunghwa 1.54, so the total line is 2.61 goals; over 2.5 lands at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
The pick for Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa is paju Citizen or Asan Mugunghwa (no draw), a 74% chance. At 1.23 with 1xBet the market prices it at 81%, against 74% from the model.
At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa.
Form check: Paju Citizen have won 2 of their last 5 with 7 scored and 7 conceded, Asan Mugunghwa 3 of 5 scoring 10 and conceding 3.
Under 2.5 goals is rated 52% and under 3.5 73%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 74% and over 2.5 at 48%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 52%, best priced 1.82 at 1xBet.
Both teams to score is 53%: Paju Citizen find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Asan Mugunghwa in 79%. Paju Citizen keep a clean sheet 21% of the time and Asan Mugunghwa 34%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Paju Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa: 1-1 (12.1%), 0-1 (11.3%) and 1-2 (9.3%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.1% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Asan Mugunghwa, full-time Asan Mugunghwa is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 69%.
The grid built from 1.07 and 1.54 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Double chance
Goals
BTTS
Halves
Team goals
Odd or even
Most likely scores
Half-time / full-time
The model gives Asan Mugunghwa the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 26%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.1%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 48% backs the same picture with less variance.
The BTTS yes line is rated 53%. Paju Citizen find the net in 66% of simulated matches and Asan Mugunghwa in 79%.
Kick-off is 07:30 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.