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Live 11 UTC
Division 1 Round 11 Saturday, 7 November 2026 Kick-off
Al NajmaHomeDWWW
Sat 7 Nov
Al UlaAwayWDWW
272548
Al Najma winDrawAl Ula win
Kick-off
Sat 7 Nov
Expected goals
2.73
1.14 : 1.59
Favourite
48%
Al Ula
Over 2.5 goals
51%
model chance
Both teams to score
54%
model chance
Prices compared
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awaiting lines

Al Najma vs Al Ula betting odds by bookmaker

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

75%

Our prediction

Al Najma or Al Ula (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.14 : 1.59
1.33fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
51% chance1.95fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
54% chance1.85fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
76% chance1.32fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Al Ula, full-time Al Ula
29% chance3.44fair
First halfFirst-half goal
71% chance1.41fair

Al Najma vs Al Ula prediction

Al Najma vs Al Ula prediction, who wins and at what price

Al Najma vs Al Ula prediction for the Division 1 on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Al Ula marginally ahead at 48%, with the draw at 25% and Al Najma at 27%.

The goal expectancy is 2.73 in total, split 1.14 to Al Najma and 1.59 to Al Ula. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 54%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Our main pick is al Najma or Al Ula (no draw) at 75%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Form check: Al Najma have won 3 of their last 4 with 10 scored and 3 conceded, Al Ula 3 of 4 scoring 12 and conceding 4.

How many goals in Al Najma vs Al Ula? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Under 2.5 goals is rated 49% and under 3.5 71%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 76% and over 2.5 at 51%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 51%.

The chance of both teams scoring is 54%, built from Al Najma scoring in 68% of runs and Al Ula in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for Al Najma and 32% for Al Ula.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Al Najma vs Al Ula: 1-1 (11.8%), 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.4%).

A correct score bet pays long because the probability spreads across dozens of results; the over and under lines above back the same match picture with far less variance.

Half-time / full-time: half-time Al Ula, full-time Al Ula is the top combination at 29%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 71%.

Every market rated for Al Najma vs Al Ula

The grid built from 1.14 and 1.59 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.

Match result

Al Najma to win27%fair 3.68
Draw25%fair 4.02
Al Ula to win48%fair 2.09
Al Najma, draw no bet36%fair 2.76
Al Ula, draw no bet64%fair 1.57

Double chance

Al Najma or draw52%fair 1.92
Al Ula or draw73%fair 1.37
Al Najma or Al Ula (no draw)75%fair 1.33

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.07
Over 1.5 goals76%fair 1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%fair 3.41
Over 4.5 goals14%fair 7.04
Under 1.5 goals24%fair 4.12
Under 2.5 goals49%fair 2.06
Under 3.5 goals71%fair 1.41

BTTS

Both teams to score54%fair 1.85
Not both teams to score46%fair 2.18

Halves

First-half goal71%fair 1.41
Over 1.5 first-half goals35%fair 2.87
Second-half goal78%fair 1.29

Team goals

Al Najma to score68%fair 1.47
Al Ula to score80%fair 1.26
Al Najma clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Al Ula clean sheet32%fair 3.13
Al Najma to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Al Ula to win to nil29%fair 3.40

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
0-110.4%
1-29.4%
0-28.2%
1-07.4%
2-16.7%

Half-time / full-time

Al Ula / Al Ula29.1%
Draw / Al Ula16%
Al Najma / Al Najma15.5%
Draw / Draw14.9%
Draw / Al Najma10.1%

Questions about Al Najma vs Al Ula

Who will win Al Najma vs Al Ula?

The model gives Al Ula the best chance at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What scoreline is most likely in Al Najma vs Al Ula?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 51% backs the same picture with less variance.

Will both teams score in Al Najma vs Al Ula?

The BTTS yes line is rated 54%. Al Najma find the net in 68% of simulated matches and Al Ula in 80%.

When do Al Najma play Al Ula?

Al Najma vs Al Ula starts at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, Al Najma v Al UlaAl Najma or Al Ula (no draw), 75%
1.33fair