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Liga Panameña de Fútbol Apertura - 16 Sunday, 8 November 2026 Kick-off
UMECITHomeLWWDD
Sun 8 Nov
Plaza AmadorAwayWWWWW
382537
UMECIT winDrawPlaza Amador win
Kick-off
Sun 8 Nov
Expected goals
2.84
1.44 : 1.40
Favourite
38%
UMECIT
Over 2.5 goals
54%
model chance
Both teams to score
57%
model chance
Prices compared
-
awaiting lines

Best odds for UMECIT vs Plaza Amador

No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.

No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.

75%

Our prediction

UMECIT or Plaza Amador (no draw)
LeanExpected goals 1.44 : 1.40
1.34fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
54% chance1.86fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
57% chance1.74fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.29fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.47fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time UMECIT, full-time UMECIT
23% chance4.41fair
First halfFirst-half goal
72% chance1.39fair

UMECIT vs Plaza Amador prediction

UMECIT vs Plaza Amador prediction, who wins and at what price

UMECIT vs Plaza Amador prediction for the Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Sunday, 8 November 2026: the model calls it close, UMECIT 38%, draw 25%, Plaza Amador 37%. With no clear favourite the single-result markets carry real risk, and the goal lines below are where the steadier edges sit.

Expected goals are 1.44 for UMECIT and 1.40 for Plaza Amador, a total of 2.84, which puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 57%.

The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.

UMECIT or Plaza Amador (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.

Over the last 5 matches UMECIT stand at 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Plaza Amador show 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

How many goals in UMECIT vs Plaza Amador? Lines, BTTS and scorelines

Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 78%, over 2.5 at 54%, over 3.5 at 32%; under 2.5 is 46% and under 3.5 is 68%.

The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 54%.

BTTS yes stands at 57%. UMECIT score in 76% of simulations against a 24% clean sheet for Plaza Amador; Plaza Amador score in 75% while UMECIT shut them out 25% of the time.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for UMECIT vs Plaza Amador: 1-1 (11.8%), 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.4%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.8% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

Half-time / full-time: half-time UMECIT, full-time UMECIT is the top combination at 23%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 72%.

All markets, UMECIT vs Plaza Amador

Result, double chance, goal lines, BTTS, scorelines and half-time markets for UMECIT vs Plaza Amador, all from one grid; best price where priced, fair price where not, green bar for the top line in each group.

Match result

UMECIT to win38%fair 2.60
Draw25%fair 3.98
Plaza Amador to win37%fair 2.74
UMECIT, draw no bet51%fair 1.95
Plaza Amador, draw no bet49%fair 2.05

Double chance

UMECIT or draw64%fair 1.57
Plaza Amador or draw62%fair 1.62
UMECIT or Plaza Amador (no draw)75%fair 1.34

Goals

Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.29
Over 2.5 goals54%fair 1.86
Over 3.5 goals32%fair 3.15
Over 4.5 goals16%fair 6.29
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.46
Under 2.5 goals46%fair 2.17
Under 3.5 goals68%fair 1.46

BTTS

Both teams to score57%fair 1.74
Not both teams to score43%fair 2.35

Halves

First-half goal72%fair 1.39
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.74
Second-half goal79%fair 1.27

Team goals

UMECIT to score76%fair 1.31
Plaza Amador to score75%fair 1.33
UMECIT clean sheet25%fair 4.05
Plaza Amador clean sheet24%fair 4.22
UMECIT to win to nil23%fair 4.41
Plaza Amador to win to nil22%fair 4.59

Odd or even

Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
2-18.5%
1-08.4%
1-28.2%
0-18.2%
2-06.1%

Half-time / full-time

UMECIT / UMECIT22.7%
Plaza Amador / Plaza Amador21.5%
Draw / Draw14.5%
Draw / UMECIT13.2%
Draw / Plaza Amador12.7%

Questions about UMECIT vs Plaza Amador

UMECIT or Plaza Amador: which side does the model back?

The model gives UMECIT the best chance at 38%, with the draw at 25%. Under 50% the favourite fails to win more often than it wins, which is why the double chance is the safer line here.

What is the correct score prediction for UMECIT vs Plaza Amador?

1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.8%. The probability is spread across many results, so over 2.5 goals at 54% backs the same picture with less variance.

Is BTTS likely in UMECIT vs Plaza Amador?

The BTTS yes line is rated 57%. UMECIT find the net in 76% of simulated matches and Plaza Amador in 75%.

What time does UMECIT vs Plaza Amador kick off?

UMECIT vs Plaza Amador starts at 01:00 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.

Our pick, UMECIT v Plaza AmadorUMECIT or Plaza Amador (no draw), 75%
1.34fair