CONCACAF Nations League
JamaicaHomeWLWD
Mon 9 Nov
MexicoAway432532
Jamaica winDrawMexico win
JamaicaHomeWLWDMexicoAway- Kick-off Mon 9 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.88 1.55 : 1.33
- Favourite
- 43% Jamaica
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 58% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Jamaica vs Mexico
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
Bookmakers have not opened Jamaica vs Mexico yet. The lines usually arrive within two days of kick-off, and the markets above show the fair price from the model until then.
75%
Our prediction
Jamaica or Mexico (no draw)
1.33fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
55% chance1.83fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
58% chance1.73fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
78% chance1.28fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
12% chance8.62fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Jamaica, full-time Jamaica
26% chance3.91fair
First halfFirst-half goal
73% chance1.38fair
Jamaica vs Mexico prediction
Our Jamaica vs Mexico prediction and pick
Jamaica host Mexico on Monday, 9 November 2026 in the CONCACAF Nations League, and the model has Jamaica at 43%, the draw at 25% and Mexico at 33%: that is the Jamaica vs Mexico prediction in one line.
The goal expectancy is 2.88 in total, split 1.55 to Jamaica and 1.33 to Mexico. From that pair the grid gives over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 58%.
The probabilities come from our match model, fitted to a Poisson pair of expected goals so every market on the page agrees with the others.
Jamaica or Mexico (no draw) is the main selection, rated 75%. Bookmakers have not opened this line yet; the page shows the fair price until they do.
How many goals in Jamaica vs Mexico? Lines, BTTS and scorelines
On the goal lines Jamaica vs Mexico reads 78% for over 1.5, 55% for over 2.5 and 33% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 45%.
Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 55%.
Both teams to score is 58%: Jamaica find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Mexico in 74%. Jamaica keep a clean sheet 26% of the time and Mexico 21%.
Correct score: 1-1 leads at 11.6%, then 2-1 at 9% and 1-0 at 8.7%.
Even the leading scoreline holds only 11.6% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Jamaica, full-time Jamaica is the top combination at 26%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 73%.
All markets, Jamaica vs Mexico
Every chance below comes from the same score grid as the 43% / 25% / 33% split above, with the best bookmaker price where one exists and the fair price otherwise; the green bar marks the strongest line in each group.
Match result
Jamaica to win43%fair 2.35
Draw25%fair 4.03
Mexico to win33%fair 3.06
Jamaica, draw no bet57%fair 1.77
Mexico, draw no bet43%fair 2.30
Double chance
Jamaica or draw67%fair 1.48
Mexico or draw58%fair 1.74
Jamaica or Mexico (no draw)75%fair 1.33
Goals
Over 0.5 goals94%fair 1.06
Over 1.5 goals78%fair 1.28
Over 2.5 goals55%fair 1.83
Over 3.5 goals33%fair 3.07
Over 4.5 goals17%fair 6.06
Under 1.5 goals22%fair 4.59
Under 2.5 goals45%fair 2.21
Under 3.5 goals67%fair 1.48
BTTS
Both teams to score58%fair 1.73
Not both teams to score42%fair 2.37
Halves
First-half goal73%fair 1.38
Over 1.5 first-half goals37%fair 2.69
Second-half goal80%fair 1.26
Team goals
Jamaica to score79%fair 1.27
Mexico to score74%fair 1.36
Jamaica clean sheet26%fair 3.79
Mexico clean sheet21%fair 4.72
Jamaica to win to nil24%fair 4.12
Mexico to win to nil20%fair 5.13
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-111.6%
2-19%
1-08.7%
1-27.7%
0-17.5%
2-06.7%
Half-time / full-time
Jamaica / Jamaica25.6%
Mexico / Mexico19%
Draw / Jamaica14.3%
Draw / Draw14.2%
Draw / Mexico11.5%
Questions about Jamaica vs Mexico
Jamaica or Mexico: which side does the model back?
The model gives Jamaica the best chance at 43%, with the draw at 25%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
Jamaica vs Mexico correct score: what does the model say?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11.6%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 55%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Will both teams score in Jamaica vs Mexico?
The BTTS yes line is rated 58%. Jamaica find the net in 79% of simulated matches and Mexico in 74%.
When do Jamaica play Mexico?
Kick-off is 21:00 UTC on Monday, 9 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.