Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem prediction

Our Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem prediction and pick

Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem prediction for the Ligat Ha'al on Saturday, 7 November 2026: the model makes Beitar Jerusalem the clear favourite at 69%, with the draw at 18% and Ironi Tiberias at 13%.

Expected goals are 0.97 for Ironi Tiberias and 2.42 for Beitar Jerusalem, a total of 3.39, which puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 57%.

Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.

Beitar Jerusalem to win is the main selection, rated 69%. 1xBet offer the top price at 1.37. That price implies 73%, 4 points over the model figure.

At that price the market already expects this result, so the selection is a probable outcome rather than value. The goal lines carry the better return on Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem.

Beitar Jerusalem or draw is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 87% chance, priced 1.08.

The draw sits at only 18%, so the 12 double chance and draw no bet keep more of the price than usual.

Over the last 5 matches Ironi Tiberias stand at 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Beitar Jerusalem show 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in 5.

Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score

Under 2.5 goals is rated 35% and under 3.5 56%; on the other side over 1.5 stands at 85% and over 2.5 at 65%.

Over 2.5 goals is the goals selection at 65%; 1xBet pay 1.42.

Both teams to score is 57%: Ironi Tiberias find the net in 62% of simulated matches and Beitar Jerusalem in 91%. Ironi Tiberias keep a clean sheet 9% of the time and Beitar Jerusalem 38%.

Three scorelines carry the most weight for Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem: 0-2 (9.9%), 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.2%).

Even the leading scoreline holds only 9.9% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.

In the half-time / full-time market half-time Beitar Jerusalem, full-time Beitar Jerusalem leads at 47%. A goal before the break is rated 78%, since 45% of the expected goals fall in the first half.