Hong Kong Premier League
WarriorsHomeWL
Sat 7 Nov
Southern DistrictAwayWL512128
Warriors winDrawSouthern District win
WarriorsHomeWLSouthern DistrictAwayWL- Kick-off Sat 7 Nov
- Expected goals
- 3.74 2.15 : 1.59
- Favourite
- 51% Warriors
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 70% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Warriors vs Southern District
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
51%
Our prediction
Warriors to win
1.97fair
Double chanceWarriors or Southern District (no draw)
79% chance1.26fair
Goal lineOver 2.5 goals
72% chance1.39fair
BTTSBoth teams to score
70% chance1.42fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
89% chance1.13fair
ScorelineCorrect score 2-1
9% chance11.49fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Warriors, full-time Warriors
32% chance3.10fair
Warriors vs Southern District prediction
Our Warriors vs Southern District prediction and pick
Warriors are a narrow favourite in the Warriors vs Southern District prediction, rated 51% to win this Hong Kong Premier League match on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Southern District sit at 29% and the draw at 21%.
Expected goals are 2.15 for Warriors and 1.59 for Southern District, a total of 3.74, which puts over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams to score at 70%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Our main pick is warriors to win at 51%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Warriors or Southern District (no draw) is the cover bet: two results out of three and a 79% chance.
With the draw down at 21%, draw no bet costs little insurance and the 12 line keeps most of the win price.
Warriors vs Southern District over 2.5 goals, BTTS and correct score
Goal lines from the same grid: over 1.5 at 89%, over 2.5 at 72%, over 3.5 at 51%; under 2.5 is 28% and under 3.5 is 49%.
The goals pick is over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The chance of both teams scoring is 70%, built from Warriors scoring in 88% of runs and Southern District in 80%; clean sheets come at 20% for Warriors and 12% for Southern District.
Both teams to score is the stronger side of the BTTS market at 70%.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Warriors vs Southern District: 2-1 (8.7%), 1-1 (8.1%) and 2-2 (6.9%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 8.7% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Warriors, full-time Warriors is the top combination at 32%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 81%.
Every market for Warriors vs Southern District
The grid built from 2.15 and 1.59 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Warriors to win51%fair 1.97
Draw21%fair 4.83
Southern District to win29%fair 3.50
Warriors, draw no bet64%fair 1.56
Southern District, draw no bet36%fair 2.77
Double chance
Warriors or draw71%fair 1.40
Southern District or draw49%fair 2.03
Warriors or Southern District (no draw)79%fair 1.26
Goals
Over 0.5 goals98%fair 1.02
Over 1.5 goals89%fair 1.13
Over 2.5 goals72%fair 1.39
Over 3.5 goals51%fair 1.95
Over 4.5 goals32%fair 3.13
Under 1.5 goals11%fair 8.85
Under 2.5 goals28%fair 3.57
Under 3.5 goals49%fair 2.06
BTTS
Both teams to score70%fair 1.42
Not both teams to score30%fair 3.37
Halves
First-half goal81%fair 1.23
Over 1.5 first-half goals50%fair 2.00
Second-half goal87%fair 1.15
Team goals
Warriors to score88%fair 1.13
Southern District to score80%fair 1.26
Warriors clean sheet20%fair 4.90
Southern District clean sheet12%fair 8.62
Warriors to win to nil19%fair 5.32
Southern District to win to nil11%fair 9.35
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.00
Even number of goals50%fair 2.00
Most likely scores
2-18.7%
1-18.1%
2-26.9%
1-26.5%
3-16.3%
2-05.5%
Half-time / full-time
Warriors / Warriors32.3%
Southern District / Southern District16.9%
Draw / Warriors14.6%
Draw / Draw10.1%
Draw / Southern District9.2%
Questions about Warriors vs Southern District
Who will win Warriors vs Southern District?
The model gives Warriors the best chance at 51%, with the draw at 21%. That is a majority outcome: the win is likelier than a draw and a defeat put together.
What is the correct score prediction for Warriors vs Southern District?
2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 8.7%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 72%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Is BTTS likely in Warriors vs Southern District?
The BTTS yes line is rated 70%. Warriors find the net in 88% of simulated matches and Southern District in 80%.
When is Warriors vs Southern District and where is the result shown?
Warriors vs Southern District starts at 10:00 UTC on Saturday, 7 November 2026, shown in your local time once the page loads. The live score runs on the page and every tip is graded after the final whistle.