AFC Champions League Two
KitcheeHomeWDWL
Thu 5 Nov
Phnom Penh CrownAwayWW272647
Kitchee winDrawPhnom Penh Crown win
KitcheeHomeWDWLPhnom Penh CrownAwayWW- Kick-off Thu 5 Nov
- Expected goals
- 2.50 1.04 : 1.46
- Favourite
- 47% Phnom Penh Crown
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46% model chance
- Both teams to score
- 50% model chance
- Prices compared
- - awaiting lines
Best odds for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown
No bookmaker prices stored for this match yet.
No bookmaker lines are stored for this match yet. Prices appear once the feed carries them, usually within 48 hours of kick-off for the major competitions and the evening before for smaller ones.
74%
Our prediction
Kitchee or Phnom Penh Crown (no draw)
1.36fair
Goal lineUnder 2.5 goals
55% chance1.83fair
BTTSNot both teams to score
51% chance1.98fair
Goal lineOver 1.5 goals
71% chance1.40fair
ScorelineCorrect score 1-1
13% chance8.00fair
Half-time / full-timeHalf-time Phnom Penh Crown, full-time Phnom Penh Crown
28% chance3.56fair
First halfFirst-half goal
68% chance1.48fair
Kitchee v Phnom Penh Crown head to head
0Kitchee wins
0Draws
1Phnom Penh Crown wins
- 29 Oct 26Phnom Penh Crown2:0Kitchee
1 meeting since coverage began, 2 goals in total: Kitchee scored 0, Phnom Penh Crown scored 2.
Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown prediction
Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown prediction and best bet
Phnom Penh Crown are marginally ahead in the Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown prediction, rated 47% to win this AFC Champions League Two match on Thursday, 5 November 2026. Kitchee sit at 27% and the draw at 26%.
Kitchee are expected to score 1.04 and Phnom Penh Crown 1.46, so the total line is 2.50 goals; over 2.5 lands at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Every figure on the page comes from one Poisson score grid fitted to those two expected goal numbers, which is why the markets never contradict each other.
Kitchee or Phnom Penh Crown (no draw) is the main selection, rated 74%. No bookmaker has priced it yet, so the fair price from the model is shown instead.
Goals, BTTS and correct score for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown
On the goal lines Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown reads 71% for over 1.5, 46% for over 2.5 and 24% for over 3.5, which leaves under 2.5 at 55%.
The goals pick is under 2.5 goals at 55%.
BTTS yes stands at 50%. Kitchee score in 65% of simulations against a 35% clean sheet for Phnom Penh Crown; Phnom Penh Crown score in 77% while Kitchee shut them out 23% of the time.
Three scorelines carry the most weight for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown: 1-1 (12.5%), 0-1 (12%) and 1-2 (9.1%).
Even the leading scoreline holds only 12.5% of the probability, which is normal for this market and why the goal lines give the steadier route to the same opinion.
Half-time / full-time: half-time Phnom Penh Crown, full-time Phnom Penh Crown is the top combination at 28%. The model gives the first half 45% of the goals, which puts a first-half goal at 68%.
Every market rated for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown
The grid built from 1.04 and 1.46 expected goals prices every market here. Where a bookmaker has a line the best price is shown; otherwise the fair price stands in, and the green bar is the strongest line of each group.
Match result
Kitchee to win27%fair 3.70
Draw26%fair 3.80
Phnom Penh Crown to win47%fair 2.15
Kitchee, draw no bet37%fair 2.72
Phnom Penh Crown, draw no bet63%fair 1.58
Double chance
Kitchee or draw53%fair 1.88
Phnom Penh Crown or draw73%fair 1.37
Kitchee or Phnom Penh Crown (no draw)74%fair 1.36
Goals
Over 0.5 goals92%fair 1.09
Over 1.5 goals71%fair 1.40
Over 2.5 goals46%fair 2.20
Over 3.5 goals24%fair 4.13
Over 4.5 goals11%fair 9.17
Under 1.5 goals29%fair 3.48
Under 2.5 goals55%fair 1.83
Under 3.5 goals76%fair 1.32
BTTS
Both teams to score50%fair 2.02
Not both teams to score51%fair 1.98
Halves
First-half goal68%fair 1.48
Over 1.5 first-half goals31%fair 3.23
Second-half goal75%fair 1.34
Team goals
Kitchee to score65%fair 1.55
Phnom Penh Crown to score77%fair 1.30
Kitchee clean sheet23%fair 4.31
Phnom Penh Crown clean sheet35%fair 2.83
Kitchee to win to nil21%fair 4.67
Phnom Penh Crown to win to nil33%fair 3.08
Odd or even
Odd number of goals50%fair 2.01
Even number of goals50%fair 1.99
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
0-112%
1-29.1%
0-28.7%
1-08.5%
0-08.2%
Half-time / full-time
Phnom Penh Crown / Phnom Penh Crown28.1%
Draw / Draw16.6%
Draw / Phnom Penh Crown16.4%
Kitchee / Kitchee15.1%
Draw / Kitchee10.3%
Questions about Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown
Who is favourite in Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
The model gives Phnom Penh Crown the best chance at 47%, with the draw at 26%. A probability under 50% means the favourite loses or draws more often than not, so size any bet accordingly.
What is the correct score prediction for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12.5%. Correct score odds are long because dozens of scorelines share the probability; the goal lines (over 2.5 at 46%) are the steadier way to back the same view.
Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown both teams to score: yes or no?
The BTTS yes line is rated 50%. Kitchee find the net in 65% of simulated matches and Phnom Penh Crown in 77%.
What time does Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown kick off?
Kick-off is 10:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026; the clock at the top of the page converts it to your time zone. The score updates on the page while the match is on and the tips are graded in the results record after full time.